GM40: The Risk of Volatility Exploding...Soon ft. Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 26 April 2023

⏱️ 63 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Join us for an enlightening conversation with Cem Karsan, where we dive deep into the state of the volatility markets and the risks that come with the current low volatility environment. We explore the lagging effects of FED actions and their impact on the markets, as well as the potential impact of inflation, the upcoming US election season, and the current US debt ceiling situation. Get ready for a thought-provoking discussion on the current state of the markets and the challenges facing investors today.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to [email protected]

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Cem on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

03:08 - The big picture macro view

08:27 - Fed selling Puts and Calls

12:54 - The lag effect

20:31 - The impact of change in demographics

29:49 - The state of the markets - Recession inbound?

38:47 - Sticky CPI - What is causing it?

46:12 - Is the FED causing uneccesary downturn?

49:41 - Are we looking at the right Asset Class?

52:26 - Is the equity rally about to end?

54:24 - The Unpinning of Volatility

57:40 - The coming Explosion of Volatility

01:01:44 - Thanks for listening

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0	So that's really kind of what we're watching is we're trying to find a moment when
0:11.3	everybody starts scratching their heads and giving up and throwing in the towel because
0:15.7	the pain trade is happening. It's going to be an interesting couple of months, I think,
0:22.5	particularly as I've mentioned. There's a lot of things, kind of storm clouds brewing,
0:28.3	and that lag is working through the system, right as kind of demand is getting pulled off the table
0:34.5	from buybacks and some other forces as well.
0:42.1	Imagine spending an hour with the world's greatest traders.
0:46.6	Imagine learning from their experiences, their successes, and their failures.
0:48.6	Imagine no more.
0:54.0	Welcome to Top Traders Unplugged, the place where you can learn from the best hedge fund managers in the world,
0:55.4	so you can take your manager, due diligence, or investment career to the next level.
1:00.0	Before we begin today's conversation, remember to keep two things in mind.
1:03.9	All the discussion we'll have about investment performance is about the past,
1:07.7	and past performance does not guarantee or even infer anything about future performance.
1:12.7	Also understand that there's a significant risk of financial loss with all investment strategies,
1:16.9	and you need to request and understand the specific risks from the investment manager about their
1:22.0	product before you make investment decisions.
1:24.8	Here's your host, veteran hedge fund manager, Niels Kostrup Larson.
1:34.4	Welcome, welcome back to another edition of our Global Macros series, where today I'm
1:38.5	joined by my co-host, Jim Kazang, for a free-flowing conversation and perhaps unpredictable
1:43.9	conversation as part of our global macro series.
1:47.0	Jim, I hope you're doing well. Are you back in Chicago today?
	...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Previous episode | Next episode

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.