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Wall Street Breakfast

Global easing gains steam as Bank of England cuts

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 1 August 2024

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Bank of England cut rates to 5% in a tight 5-4 vote. (0:15) Hershey takes a hit on sales. (4:17) Eli Lilly weight-loss drug cuts hearth-failure risk. (5:40)

Show Notes
Continuing jobless claims highest since November 2021
Arm Holdings sinks as Wall Street defends after Q1 results, guidance

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news and analysis.

0:09.0

Good afternoon, today is Thursday, August 1stst and I'm your host Kim Kong.

0:14.0

Our top story so far. The Bank of England joins the bandwagon.

0:18.0

The old lady of Threadneedles Street cut interest rates by a quarter point to 5%

0:22.0

after a meeting that was far from a foregone conclusion.

0:25.7

Economists had priced in 60-40 odds that the BOE would lower rates, but few would have

0:30.5

been surprised if the monetary policy committee, Hawks, had swung the decision.

0:35.2

That was evidenced in the NPC's close five to four vote to cut.

0:39.1

Michael Brown, senior strategist at Pepperstone, said looking ahead a relatively gradual

0:44.3

quarterly pace of cuts seems most plausible for the old lady with further

0:48.2

normalization likely to coincide with meetings at which a monetary policy report is published, leaving the base case

0:54.4

as just one more cut this year at the November meeting. U.S. Treasury yields fell

0:59.2

as the BOE joined the global monetary easing trend, the 10-year yield fell below 4% for the first time in six months,

1:06.4

a day after Fed Chairman J. Powell said a cut in September was on the table provided more good data arrived.

1:13.4

While the markets have been confident about a September Fed cut for a while,

1:17.1

they are now pricing in a 20% chance that it could cut by 50 basis points.

1:22.0

Society General FX strategist Kit Jukes notes that the

1:25.4

FOMC pretty much has to cut every meeting this year to keep up with market

1:30.0

expectations. That pricing against a backdrop of an economy that is growing

1:34.9

reasonably fast, a labor market that is unambiguously tight, and an equity market that

1:39.7

goes around smiling all the time is a recipe for the kind of disappointment my colleague

1:44.2

Albert Edwards who is a noted bear dreams about juke said we're only going to get

...

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