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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Germany’s excess deaths, Eurovision and teacher shortages

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 25 May 2022

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Some recent, and surprising, estimates from the World Health Organisation suggested that the UK fared better than Germany in the pandemic. But did they get it right? At Eurovision this year an algorithm was apparently used to replace whole countries’ votes - was it responsible for the UK’s second-place finish? The global economy has been putting the squeeze on many of us this year. Various factors have caused food, fuel and energy prices to rocket and many households are starting to feel the pinch. We speak to economist Duncan Weldon about whether this year is the worst hit to the cost of living since records began. An unusually large contingent of children are set to hit English secondary schools just as the number of 21 year olds dips – so are we heading for a teaching crunch in England? Produced in partnership with The Open University.

Transcript

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0:00.0

BBC Sounds Music Radio Podcasts

0:04.4

Hello and welcome to a brand new series of more or less. We all weekly guide to the

0:10.2

numbers all around us in the news and in life, and I'm Tim Harford. This week we'll be

0:15.6

asking whether the UK's intriguing demographics have simultaneously given us a bumper crop

0:21.4

of school pupils and a shortage of new teachers. We'll answer questions from loyal listeners

0:27.2

about inflation and living standards and we'll chase down a mysterious algorithm that's

0:32.4

been running wild through the Eurovision judging process.

0:37.3

But first, which countries have been worst affected by the pandemic, has been a subject

0:42.0

of many media stories, Twitter based rouse, and even let's be honest, the occasional

0:47.3

episode of more or less, and the general idea has often been that the UK has fared quite

0:52.4

badly. So it was surprising when the World Health Organization, the WHO, released a piece

0:58.9

of research a couple of weeks ago which blew that assumption apart.

1:03.1

Britain has lower Covid excess death rate than Spain, Germany, and Italy, despite Doommungers

1:09.9

insisting UK fared worst in Europe.

1:13.1

The man who was UK health secretary at the time, Matt Hancock, took to Twitter to celebrate

1:18.6

his exoneration in the eyes of the WHO. Important new analysis by at WHO shows the UK's

1:26.1

excess death rate in the pandemic was lower than comparable countries such as the US, Italy,

1:31.7

Germany, and Spain.

1:33.5

The USA has famously struggled to deal with the epidemic, while the first wave hit Italy

1:38.7

and then Spain very hard. So perhaps it's not a shock to find the UK suffering fewer

1:43.9

deaths than any of them, but Germany? That is a surprise. More or less even researched

1:51.2

and broadcast an item exploring why Germany had done so much better than the UK in the

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