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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Friday October 27th, 2023 - NFL Odds, Picks and Analysis

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 27 October 2023

⏱️ 21 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Simple Handicap for Friday October 27th, 2023


Week 8 Preview Live Stream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dID7SWe7ZuU

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Good morning, everybody, the Simple Handicap for Friday, October 27. Thank you for making me a part of your morning.

0:06.6

We are at the final market rundown here for NFL week number eight. And it's a little bit less of an exciting final market rundown on the week, comparatively speaking, to last week where it was just a lot of conviction, a lot of sort of straightforward bets that were made all week. This week, just not quite landing in the ranges that you were hoping for. So we got a couple spots, sides and totals. We got a couple props that we can talk about as we go through the card. A lot of them, unfortunately, not posted yet. But I'll give you kind of a couple things to look into as we wrap up the week here on the podcast.

0:38.7

Let's start it off with the Saints on the road at the Indianapolis Colts.

0:42.3

It is Saints minus one across the board total in this game as high as 44 at Chris.

0:47.3

Still ticking up just a little bit with offense expected from both of these teams.

0:52.6

This isn't necessarily a bet that I would be running to make, but something that stood

0:58.0

out to me as maybe just being a little bit off is Gardner-Minchie was posted at a couple

1:03.7

of the legal sports books within the U.S. at seven and a half rushing yards.

1:08.0

And I'm making a very strong habit this year and last year to not bet

1:12.9

players at their position doing something that their position doesn't call for. For example,

1:18.5

running back, receivings over, quarterback rushing overs, really try to stay away with it,

1:24.6

with the exception being like a Lamar Jackson who really plays

1:27.7

that dual role. Gardner Minsh was utilized on a number of designed runs last week for Shane

1:34.1

Steichen, had the big one for the touchdown, but he had his number called a couple more times.

1:38.7

The Saints play a ton of man coverage. Going to have their backs turned on some situations,

1:43.5

especially if the Colts are playing

1:44.6

from behind. That's something to kind of keep an eye on. Another thing that I would say is

1:49.7

Michael Pittman had a very out-of-character outburst earlier this week. And it was interesting

1:57.0

as I was reading through the forums and reading through some other places. They're like, Pittman doesn't do this. And Pittman's been leading the team in receptions.

2:04.8

He's been leading the team in targets. There's been kind of a back and forth between him and

2:09.9

Josh Downs in the last couple of weeks. Prop market really likes downs. But I'm not going to say

2:15.7

it's like a Devante Adams-esque situation like we saw a week ago

...

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