Four Forces That Will Shape the Next Decade
Money For the Rest of Us
J. David Stein
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 18 December 2019
⏱️ 26 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
How climate change, money, trust and technology will interact to impact financial markets and the economy in the coming decade.
Topics covered include:
- Why we change much more over a decade's time than we predict.
- What is the best approach for transitioning to a new career.
- What have stocks and bonds returned over the past decade and what are reasonable return expectations for the decade ahead.
- Examples of how the impact of climate change is being priced into financial transactions.
- Why Ray Dalio thinks the world has gone mad and the system is broken.
- Why uncertainties regarding the creation, use and borrowing of money will be reflected in interest rates.
- How trust and technology will impact global trade and productivity growth.
Thanks to Cove and Sleep Number for sponsoring the episode.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Money for the rest of us. This is the personal finance show on money, how it works, how to |
| 0:07.6 | invest it and how to live without worrying about it. I'm your host David Stein today as episode 281. It's titled Four Forces |
| 0:17.0 | That Will Shape the Next Decade. |
| 0:21.2 | This is the last episode of the year and the last episode of the decade. |
| 0:26.0 | The time for reflection. |
| 0:29.0 | One of the things I've been doing is reading a book called Range by David Epstein. |
| 0:34.0 | I started the book, I put it down, and then I recently picked it up again. |
| 0:38.0 | He mentioned how psychologist Dan Gilbert and his colleagues measured the preferences, |
| 0:46.0 | the personalities, the values of more than 19,000 adults. |
| 0:51.0 | Their ages ranged from 18 to 68. And they asked some of them to predict how they would |
| 0:58.6 | change over the next decade. And then they asked others to reflect on how they had actually changed in the previous decade. |
| 1:07.0 | What was interesting is the predictors didn't think that they would change very much over the next decade. |
| 1:14.0 | Whereas those that reflected back were astounded by how much they had changed, |
| 1:21.0 | that their preferences, Gilbert says, for vacations, music, hobbies, and even friends were |
| 1:28.6 | transfigured. |
| 1:30.2 | He writes, the precise person you are now is fleeting, just like all the other people you've been. |
| 1:37.3 | That feels like the most unexpected result, but it's also the most well documented. |
| 1:44.0 | We will change in this next decade, just like we've changed in the past. |
| 1:51.0 | I was looking back in my journal for the first post I wrote in the decade. |
| 1:56.0 | I don't write in my journal very much. The first post wasn't until November 7th, 2010. |
| 2:02.0 | I wrote, my profession continues to be rewarding. 7th, 2010. |
| 2:02.5 | I wrote, my profession continues to be rewarding. |
... |
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