Forget inflation, Walmart sounds deflation warning
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 16 November 2023
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
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Show Notes
Walmart in charts: Comparable sales growth slows amid shifting consumer trends
Palo Alto Networks tumbles as it cuts full-year billings forecast
Initial jobless claims increase by 13K, more than expected
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:11.0 | Good afternoon, today's Thursday, November 16th, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. Our top story so far. |
| 0:17.0 | Walmart is sounding a warning on retail spending and pricing power as it issues results today. Due to its sheer size, Walmart's performance is often |
| 0:24.7 | considered a proxy for the U.S. consumer, and its full-year profit guidance brought out |
| 0:28.9 | the Bears. For the numbers, the retailer reported U.S. total comparable sales up 4.9% in fiscal Q3 to top the |
| 0:37.0 | consensus estimate for up 3.4%. |
| 0:41.2 | Looking ahead, Walmart raised its full year 2024 sales guidance to a range of 5 to 5.5 percent, |
| 0:48.0 | from a prior range of up 4 percent to 4.5 percent. |
| 0:52.0 | But adjusted EPS outlook of 640 to 648 while above prior |
| 0:56.8 | outlook, misconsensus at 650. In an interview following the release, |
| 1:02.1 | CEO John Rainey said, |
| 1:04.0 | Halloween was good overall, but in the last couple of weeks of October, |
| 1:07.5 | there were certainly some trends in the business that made us pause and kind of rethink the health of the consumer. But CEO Doug McMillan said while |
| 1:15.5 | the company would like to see more and faster pockets of disinflation, falling |
| 1:19.6 | prices may actually be on their way. We may be managing through a period of |
| 1:23.7 | deflation in the months to come, he said. While the focus has understandably |
| 1:28.3 | been on inflation for a while, a few people, most notably Arc Invest |
| 1:31.9 | founder Kathy Wood, have been calling deflation a bigger risk. |
| 1:35.5 | Wood says the Fed overdid it in its tightening cycle. |
| 1:38.4 | Walnut shares are down more than 5% in today's trading, but the initial reaction from Wall Street Bulls is that the |
| 1:43.9 | company is well positioned to ride out a downturn in consumer spending and may even be |
| 1:48.5 | in a position to pick up market share. Both Jeffries and Citi recommended that investors snap up shares on any weakness. |
... |
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