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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

For U.S., Puerto Rico Bigger Tragedy than Greece – Ep 90

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business News, Business, Investing, News, Politics

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 30 June 2015

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


* Global stock markets got beaten up overnight and the carnage continued here in the U.S.
* Dow Jones down 350 points by closing bell - biggest point loss of the year
* NASDAQ down 122 points
* Possible Grexit sparked sell off in FOREX markets
* Banks in Greece closing, sending masses to the ATM machines
* Euro ended up closing near the highs of the day - nearly to $113
* The dollar was weak all day against the Yen and against the Swiss Franc
* There was no safe haven move into the dollar - gold up
* The dollar lost considerable ground against the euro
* Another confirmation that the dollar's rally is over
* My newsletter released today does a good job comparing the U.S. vs global markets
* The U.S. did well against the international market from 1996 to 2000
* In 2008 the U.S markets went sideways and the markets I recommend skyrocketed
* We have been in a period similar to '96 - 2000 and now we are about to see returns even greater than the 2008 gains in our markets
* Regardless of the direction that Greece goes in this weekend's referendum, the dollar is going down against the euro
* Puerto Rican governor finally admitted the obvious - repaying their debt is impossible
* Puerto Rican debt is a fraction of the U.S. national debt
* If it is mathematically impossible for Puerto Rico to pay their debt, why does anyone think the U.S. will be able to eventually pay off its debt?
* The only way we can pretend to pay our debt is for the Fed to do it for us by creating inflation
* This is yet another reason why the Fed is not going to raise rates in September
* We continue to get recession-like economic data, despite the fact that the Fed is still optimistic
* The Federal Reserve is looking for an excuse to not raise interest rates
* Maybe the situation in Greece will provide that excuse
* Maybe it will be the volatility in China
* "External problems" are providing an excuse to not raise rates
* It is important to point out that Puerto Rico would not be experiencing such insurmountable debt if it were not for U.S. policy.
* Puerto Rican debt has seemed attractive with its high yield and triple-tax-exempt status
* Zero interest rates from the Fed, on top of high yields, have caused the debt to seem safe, even though mathematically it cannot be paid
* People may begin to wake up when they realize what's going on in Puerto Rico and that may become an even bigger problem than Greece
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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

about Peter Schiff's show.

0:09.0

Global stock markets got beaten up overnight and the carnage continued here in the US.

0:14.8

By the time they rang the closing bell, the Dow Jones was down 350 points.

0:20.1

That's just under 2%.

0:21.7

That was the biggest point loss of the year.

0:25.3

The Nasdaq was down 122 points on a percentage basis.

0:29.4

I think that was closer to 2.5%.

0:33.3

The real interesting story, though, happened in the foreign exchange markets.

0:37.8

The news that sparked the sell-off was the Greggs it.

0:41.8

The potential now, maybe 50-50, maybe more, that Greece is going to exit.

0:47.9

That the Greek citizens are not going to accept the terms of the bailout of the terms

0:54.8

necessary to qualify for the bailout.

0:57.8

About a week ago, there was all sorts of optimism that a deal was done.

1:02.6

And that fell apart over the weekend.

1:04.9

They announced the closure of Greek banks, I believe they will remain closed.

1:09.7

There were photographs or images on the Internet of Longlines and ATM machines across Greece.

1:15.2

By the way, take a good look at those images because that's coming to an ATM machine

1:20.2

near you one day, except it won't be as civil.

1:23.5

I expect to see a lot more unrest, maybe a lot more fighting breaking out on those long lines,

1:31.8

not the civility that we saw over there in Greece.

1:36.9

But all of that initially sent the dollar rising.

1:42.8

The Euro got down last night when I looked at it near the lows.

...

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