Floors to Avoid (05/27 Fantasy Football Podcast)
Fantasy Football Today Beyond the Box Score
CBS Sports, Fantasy Football, Fantasy Sports, NFL, Rookies, NFL Rookies
4.9 • 719 Ratings
🗓️ 27 May 2022
⏱️ 6 minutes
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Summary
The floors for D.K. Metcalf, Deebo Samuel and Damien Harris are lower than you might think. Jacob Gibbs explains!
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Three players with floors to avoid right now on fantasy football today in five. |
| 0:07.8 | Adam Azor and Jacob Gibbs. |
| 0:09.6 | We're talking about players who have very low floors, in Jacob's mind. |
| 0:13.6 | Maybe very low is an extreme, but a little bit too low for where they're being drafted, let's say that. |
| 0:18.7 | So some big names here, D.K. Metcalf. |
| 0:22.0 | Yeah, all right. I know you love D.K. Metcalf as a player. You're saying you're avoiding him. Yeah, all these guys are really good players. And it's just that I think their draft range is a little bit high relative to where their floor could be if things really don't go well. So, D. Metcalfe, we talked about touchdown dependency on the, you know, ceilings to target with Michael Pittman and, you know, Davin Cook. It's the percentage of fantasy points that came via touchdowns. The league average among players with 350 routes run was 18.6. D.K. Metcalf's rate was 22% each of his first seasons, which is, you know, |
| 0:56.3 | pretty regular. That jumped all the way up to 30% last year, which was the fourth highest rate |
| 1:00.8 | among 72 qualified receivers. Outside of the touchdowns, everything else last year was pretty |
| 1:07.8 | discouraging, especially from an efficiency standpoint for Metcalf, |
| 1:11.4 | but like it kind of got massed because he scored those touchdowns. And I think efficiency is |
| 1:14.8 | going to be a concern again without Russell Wilson. And so if the touchdowns don't come, |
| 1:21.1 | it's pretty simple. If the touchdowns don't come, if Seattle is going to be, you know, |
| 1:24.1 | passing the ball at one of the lowest rates in the NFL, we're likely looking at a low route run total, relatively low yard per route run production, which is what we saw last year and is what I would expect again this year. So we could see another sub 1,000 yard season from McHef. And if his touchdown rate regresses without Wilson, I think his floor really could be pretty scary on a week-to-week basis, and that's something we saw in the second half of the season. |
| 1:46.7 | So he's definitely somebody. I'm just, I'm a little bit leery. I don't think we're going to have much of him this year. And he's not exactly going to be a target hog. You know, it's never truly separated himself over a full season from Tyler Lockett and targets. but he |
| 1:59.5 | the one thing |
| 2:00.2 | I'll say in his defense |
| 2:01.0 | is that D.K. McHaff |
| 2:02.0 | did have |
| 2:02.9 | I think a knee injury |
| 2:04.3 | that he played through at or locket in targets. But the one thing I'll say in his defense is that D.K. McCaff did have, I think, a knee injury |
| 2:04.2 | that he played through at the end of the year and needed a procedure. So he wasn't as efficient, |
| 2:08.9 | perhaps, because he wasn't as healthy. Now, how about Damien Harris? This is a guy, especially |
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