First Republic's Failure Shows the Limits of Fed Bank Programs
The Breakdown
Blockworks
4.8 • 806 Ratings
🗓️ 1 May 2023
⏱️ 17 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Part of the lesson here is that all of the Fed programs in the world can't fix structural impairments. |
| 0:06.1 | They can only bridge liquidity during bank runs. |
| 0:08.7 | The underlying assumption behind discount window and other liquidity provisions is that deposits eventually return. |
| 0:14.8 | But if deposits don't return, the logic fails. |
| 0:18.8 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, |
| 0:25.8 | and the Big Picture Power Shifts remaking our world. What's going on, guys? It is Monday, |
| 0:34.5 | May 1st, and today we are talking about the last day of First Republic. |
| 0:41.0 | Before we get into that, a quick note. If you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, |
| 0:46.0 | give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation, |
| 0:49.7 | come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.Ly slash breakdown pod. |
| 0:56.0 | And I do want to thank you guys. A number of you have left great reviews this week. Believe it or not, |
| 1:01.0 | people actually read reviews and make decisions about what they're going to listen to next on the |
| 1:05.1 | basis of them. So I really appreciate you guys taking the time to do that for me. |
| 1:09.5 | But to today's show, on Friday, we discussed how |
| 1:13.2 | First Republic Bank was a zombie. Well, friends, the undead have been put down. So heading into the |
| 1:20.8 | weekend, chatter was plentiful, but solid information was sparse regarding the resolution of |
| 1:26.2 | First Republic Bank. First Republic has been in |
| 1:29.0 | the headlines for months. Their stock has lost 90% of its value this year, with a huge amount of |
| 1:35.1 | that drop happening in the week following the shutdown of Silicon Valley Bank. Obviously, |
| 1:39.3 | after SVB, investors looked everywhere for where they thought the next banking domino might come from, |
| 1:45.3 | and specifically they were looking for these mark-to-market losses on long-term asset portfolios, |
| 1:50.2 | right? They were looking to find other banks that might have the same sort of duration mismatch, |
... |
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