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Afford Anything

First Friday: When the Gov’t is Closed, Where Do We Find the Numbers?

Afford Anything

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

Investing, Business, Entrepreneurship

4.63.4K Ratings

🗓️ 7 November 2025

⏱️ 37 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#658: An unusual First Friday episode because we don't have a jobs report. However, we do know that in October, U.S. companies announced more job cuts in a single month than they have over any single month of the last 20 years. In other words, October was peak job cut month. By contrast, private payrolls, as reported by ADP, rose by 42,000 in October, so we have a little bit of conflicting data. Some pessimistic, some optimistic. We're going to take a deeper look at that in today's episode. Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising segments. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. (00:00) Conflicting Job Market Data (03:40) Youth Unemployment and AI’s Impact (10:16) Fed Rate Cuts and Housing Market (20:23) New Job Postings Lowest in 4 Years (20:54) Consumer Sentiment (22:04) Social Security Payments Increase in 2026 (23:33) Rising Car Costs and Repossessions (24:46) Good News for Prescription Drug Prices (31:50) Government Shutdown Impacts Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Well, this is an unusual first Friday because we don't have a jobs report, but we do know that in

0:05.2

October, U.S. companies announced more job cuts in a single month than they have over any single

0:10.1

month of the last 20 years. In other words, October was peak job cut month. By contrast, private

0:17.2

payrolls, as reported by ADP, rose by 42,000 in October, so we have a little bit of

0:22.5

conflicting data. Some pessimistic, some optimistic. We're going to take a deeper look at that in

0:27.3

today's episode. We also have a new Fed rate cut, some mixed signals in the housing market, and

0:33.6

good news about prescription drug prices. We're going to cover all of that in today's

0:38.1

first Friday economic update. Welcome to the Afford Anything podcast, the show that knows

0:43.4

you can afford anything, not everything. This show covers five pillars, financial psychology,

0:48.5

increasing your income, investing, real estate, and entrepreneurship. It's double-eye fire.

0:52.8

I'm your host, Paula Pant. I have a

0:54.3

master's in economic reporting from Columbia. Typically, on our Tuesday episodes, we normally

0:59.8

answer questions that come from you, and on our Friday episodes, we normally interview guests.

1:05.1

But there's one exception, and that exception is the first Friday of every month. That's when we host a special first Friday macro economic update,

1:15.1

taking a wide lens look at the economy around us.

1:18.5

So welcome to the November 2025, first Friday economic update.

1:24.4

We'll start with a look at jobs, because if you want to understand what's happening in the

1:27.8

economy, don't look at the stock market, look at the bond market, and look at jobs. And this

1:34.4

month is unusual because typically the Bureau of Labor Statistics puts out its jobs report on the

1:39.3

first Friday of every month, which is why we host these episodes on this day, but we don't have that this month.

1:46.2

Instead, what we do have is a report from a private payroll processor called ADP.

1:51.8

They independently measure the jobs market through weekly payroll data from more than 26

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