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The Dispatch Podcast

Finding the Ideological Center of Gravity

The Dispatch Podcast

The Dispatch

News, Politics

4.63.3K Ratings

🗓️ 23 July 2021

⏱️ 42 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Patrick Ruffini, a co-founder of the predictive analytics and research firm Echelon Insights, joins Sarah and Chris to discuss his recent analysis of the American electorate. Ruffini tells our hosts where the ideological center of gravity seems to be and why cultural issues might be driving voter turnout. Chris asks whether a party can adopt a perfect policy position and if party bases tolerate ideological flexibility. Plus, why are moderate Democrats outperforming progressives? And why are educated voters drifting left, but non-educated voters are drifting right? Show Notes: -Echelon Insights Four Quadrants of American Voters Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the dispatch podcast. I'm your host, Sarah Isger joined this week by Chris

0:05.0

Steyerwalt. And we are talking to Patrick Rafini, the co-founder of echelon insights, the

0:12.2

polling firm. You may know of Kristen Sultis Anderson. But if you don't follow Patrick Rafini

0:18.0

on Twitter and get his newsletter, which you can sign up for on his Twitter account,

0:22.3

by the way, then you are missing. I would say more than half of the the genius output

0:28.7

of echelon insights. I was telling Patrick right before we started, this is the one newsletter

0:34.3

that I read start to finish every single volume episode. What are what are newsletters called?

0:40.8

Anyway, we will talk to Patrick today about their latest poll, which was really fascinating.

1:00.3

Let's dive right in. Patrick, thank you so much for joining us.

1:03.9

Thank you, Sarah. I'm really excited about this to introduce sort of a broader concept

1:10.3

than to how we think of the American electorate, especially walking into the midterms and

1:15.3

2024, which is just going to prove to be a show made of feces. So I was hoping that you

1:24.5

could walk us through this poll that you put together the four quadrants of American voters.

1:33.0

So what we set out to do here was to find the ideological center of gravity in American

1:38.0

politics. And what we found specifically, when you ask a series of questions that are

1:44.6

focused on the one hand, on cultural issues, everything from abortion to guns to as America

1:51.9

the greatest country in the world, and economic questions, everything from is there too much

1:57.4

inequality is the government too big or too small. When you ask all of those questions,

2:05.6

what we find is the center of gravity is to the right on cultural questions and slightly

2:12.7

to the left on economic questions. Specifically, when we add up all the questions, we find

2:20.9

the American electorate is 56% culturally conservative, 44% culturally liberal, and

2:27.7

52% economically liberal and 48% economically conservative. Now, I think from a broader

...

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