Finding Reasons for Near-Term Bullishness, Elon Musk Holds First Meeting with Twitter Staff & The State of Crypto in Latin America 6/17/22
TechCheck
CNBC
4.5 • 66 Ratings
🗓️ 17 June 2022
⏱️ 43 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | I'm John Fort. You're listening to CNBC's Tech Check. Our show is live weekdays at 11 a.m. Eastern. Listen in. |
| 0:07.2 | Good Friday morning and welcome to Tech Check. I'm Deerboza with Carl Kintania and John Fort. |
| 0:12.5 | I'm coming to you live from the home of the World Champions Golden State Warriors in San Francisco. |
| 0:17.9 | Not on a winning streak, though. Technology stocks. The NASDAQ has fallen 6% this week, |
| 0:22.6 | losing steam today. We've got an argument for a near-term rally, perhaps some opportunity, |
| 0:28.0 | and then Adobe shares. They are sinking cracks in the cloud story. We will have more on what |
| 0:32.5 | that report means for the rest of technology. And speaking of storm clouds, some very specific |
| 0:37.3 | warnings about the ad market. |
| 0:39.0 | We will look at some media entertainment, internet stocks. First up, it is the broader market and tech's underperformance. |
| 0:46.2 | Let's get to Mike Santoli. He is looking at Dolevent. Mike. |
| 0:50.3 | Yeah, Dee, this is pretty dramatic and really pretty protracted at this point. Payback phase for the multi-year strength you had concentrated in growth stocks coming up to the peak in January, or actually November for the NASDAQ. Look at the forward valuation, the price earnings multiple for the NASDAQ 100 stocks. Of course, this is heavily, heavily skewed to the top five biggest, |
| 1:11.6 | most profitable firms. You see just complete kind of unwind of that huge surge in excitement |
| 1:18.4 | embedded in the valuations. We got up toward 30. So now just under 20, actually, at the last |
| 1:24.1 | reading, 19.9 or something like that. And it does really take you essentially |
| 1:28.7 | back to this range that prevailed or at least capped valuations from 2017 into 2019. It's worth |
| 1:35.6 | remembering that even before we got into kind of COVID pandemic style trading, people were saying |
| 1:41.5 | the market's too concentrated in fang-like stocks, 2019. It seemed like |
| 1:45.5 | all that was working. And that's basically the level where the valuations got up to. Now, |
| 1:50.0 | they were beating estimates from this period and earnings were growing fast. So clearly this is only |
| 1:54.3 | as reliable as the underlying earnings. But it shows you we're back in the range of something |
| 2:00.0 | like normal. This is a 10-year |
| 2:01.3 | chart. You see it was a lot cheaper back here. And a lot of that was Apple being a lot cheaper. |
... |
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