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The Breakdown

Financial Postmodernism and the Great Inflation Debate

The Breakdown

Blockworks

Investing, Business

4.8786 Ratings

🗓️ 2 September 2020

⏱️ 25 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

August has come to a close. In this recap and “best of” episode, NLW looks at the big themes that defined the month. Most notable was the discussion of inflation culminating in the Federal Reserve’s newly announced policy of average inflation targeting.  This episode featured commentary from: Tony Greer - Author, Morning Navigator  Keith McCullough - CEO, Hedgeye Chris McCann - General Partner, Race Capital Adam Tooze - Chair of History, Columbia University  George Selgin - Director at the Cato Institute Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives Hugh Hendry - Legend

Transcript

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0:00.0

It's a game of psychology, and you can really challenge it and create.

0:04.4

If you can change behavior, you can change history.

0:09.7

If you can get in people's minds and make them think differently, you change history.

0:16.9

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.

0:20.9

It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world.

0:26.9

The breakdown is sponsored by crypto.com, BitStamp, and nexo.io, and produced and distributed by CoinDes.

0:35.7

What's going on, guys? It is Tuesday, September 1st. Welcome to a new month. Welcome to when,

0:43.2

in my brain, fall starts. You know, each month I like to look back at the debates and discussions

0:49.5

we've had over the previous four weeks or so and try to understand what they taught us about the

0:55.3

economy and the world that we live in more broadly. From a macro perspective, this month was

1:00.9

dominated by questions of inflation. We saw gold smashed through its psychological barrier

1:07.6

of $2,000 an ounce, and of course, the month culminated in the Fed's policy

1:13.3

shift around average inflation targeting. So I want to go back now with a number of the guests

1:19.9

from the breakdown and see what we learned. Let's start with Tony Greer, a trader whose episode

1:27.2

actually dropped on the last day of July.

1:30.1

He introduced a concept which seems highly useful in understanding the psychic fracture that has characterized this whole year.

1:38.4

That concept is financial postmodernism.

1:42.6

Figuring out the economy is a very slow-moving process, you know, as you can see by the data

1:48.5

that's coming out and sending all kinds of mixed signals.

1:51.6

But the market is very immediate right now, you know, with volatility up around 20, you know,

1:56.0

the VIX around 25, 30, you know, the market is firing off in all kinds of different directions and not being shy about the footprints that it's leaving.

2:05.7

You know, so it's really, really intense time to follow the markets.

...

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