Welcome to F.T. Politics, the Financial Times's podcast on all things British politics.

I'm Sebastian Payne and in this week's episode we'll be discussing the final week of the UK general

election campaign and the F.T.'s interview with Theresa May. I'm delighted to be

joined by Philip Stevens, the F.T. Chief Political Commentator, George Parker,

our political editor, Deputy Editor R Rula Halaf, Chief Political Coiswland Jim Picard,

and the F.T. election analyst Matt Singh. Thank you all for joining.

So the general election has

entered its final hall. We've had some TV debate, some surprising polling

momentum, but where exactly is the campaign and is the final outcome in any question.

Matt Singh, let's begin with the state of the pose.

The most striking thing this week has been a new model from U-Gov, big British poster, and they have essentially predicted conservative

losses at this election on just about now giving the Tories a three-four-point lead.

What's going on there and the big question everyone's asking is it true?

Well this model that they've done is essentially a fancy statistical way of taking all of the

information in a large sample of polling data, using it to identify types of voter,

matching it with the census and then effectively modeling how likely everyone in the country

is to vote and who they're likely to vote for. Now the results is

coming out with in terms of seats are actually not that surprising because the

regular polls they're doing they did another one last night they're showing the same sort of

popular vote number sort of three four-point lead so the model itself is the thing

that's got everybody talking but really the interesting bit is the underlying

polling so there is as you say a big difference between

...