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More or Less

Fertility: when is too late?

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 13 September 2013

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Psychologist Jean Twenge argues that women in their late thirties shouldn’t be as anxious about their prospects of having a baby as is commonly assumed. Tim Harford finds fertility experts agree. The economy’s turning a corner, the Chancellor says - Tim Harford takes a closer look at the numbers. Plus, sexual violence statistics in Asia; Britain’s ‘small island’ status rebutted; and does Africa really have a ‘drinking problem’? This is the edition of the programme first broadcast on BBC Radio 4.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Thank you for downloading more or less from the BBC. This is the version of the

0:04.1

programme first broadcast on BBC Radio 4. Here's Tim Halford.

0:09.1

Hello and welcome to more or less the programme which puts a bit of vava room in your statistical

0:14.4

life. This week are we still in recession but can't see that because we're mismeasuring GDP?

0:21.1

Alarming claims about how common rape is in Asia but what's really being counted? And

0:26.8

is Africa drunk? Oh, I've become probably the only source of relief. It has become a really

0:33.6

huge problem. But first, the comedian Tina Fey has been looking at her magazine collection.

0:39.0

The cover story of New York magazine this week is Baby Panic. This goes perfectly with the other

0:45.4

magazines on my coffee table. Where are the babies? Why haven't you had a baby? And for God's sake,

0:50.8

have a baby. That's from the US show Saturday Night Live back in 2002. It is of course possible

0:57.2

that some of those headlines weren't genuine, but this one is. It's from the Scotsman just this

1:02.0

week. Have babies by age 35 say experts. And so is this one from the mail. Pregnancy after 35 is

1:09.0

like an Iron Man challenge. Let me tell you the story of Jean Twengey, a professor of psychology at

1:15.5

San Diego University. Back when that edition of Saturday Night Live went out, Jean was having a

1:21.2

tough time. She was 30 years old and on the verge of a divorce. A few years later, she had found

1:26.4

love again. Hurrah! But Jean and her new husband wanted to have children and Panic quickly set in.

1:33.2

I read a lot of very scary statistics. And one in particular made her feel pretty desperate.

1:38.8

One out of three women over the age of 35 will not be able to get pregnant within a year.

1:44.4

So that means that after 12 months of trying to conceive naturally, only two-thirds of women

1:49.1

will have been successful. But Jean was determined to find out more. Where had that figure come from?

1:55.2

The data on which that statistic is based is from birth records, from 1700s France.

2:02.1

1700s France. Yeah, I mean the 16, 80s, 18, 10 or something like that.

...

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