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More or Less

Female Drink Drivers

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 22 May 2015

⏱️ 28 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Police Federation says female drivers aren’t heeding the drink drive warnings. Tim Harford attempts to find out the numbers behind this. Plus: the Rotterdam Effect; Death Row exonerations; pub closures; and owl counting.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Thank you for downloading this program from BBC Radio 4. I'm Tim Halford.

0:04.9

Hello and welcome to more or less your weekly guide to the numbers in the news and in life.

0:10.8

This week, Angry Owls, the death of the Great British pub,

0:15.2

and we ask the Office for National Statistics to do some hard sums.

0:19.7

45, 9, 0, divided by 3, 0, 8, 1, 13%.

0:31.6

Well, at least you didn't pull the number out of thin air.

0:34.4

But first, this week, the police federation told us that the anti-drink drive message

0:39.7

wasn't getting through to women, and whilst convictions for men had dropped by a quarter,

0:44.6

convictions for women had risen by 16%.

0:48.5

But loyal listeners Sarah emailed more or less at bbc.co.uk to ask whether, in fact,

0:54.9

this was just that there were lots of men drink driving in the first place,

0:58.4

and very few women, rather than there being a problem with the advertising.

1:02.6

Well, Charlotte Mcdonald is our alcohol expert, Charlotte.

1:06.4

Do we know whether it's true that the drink drive campaign is failing to persuade women?

1:11.4

We don't. But more fundamentally, we don't know where the police federation

1:15.6

thinks these numbers are from. It looks like cherry picking old data to us.

1:19.6

The 24% drop in the conviction rate for men, and the 16% rise in the conviction rates for women

1:25.6

are true between 2003 and 2009. But we have more recent figures, and they show that between 2003

1:33.4

and 2012, the number of women convicted for drink driving has actually fallen by 7%.

1:39.8

Do we have a sense of the broader trend?

1:41.8

We don't have figures for every year, but we do have data points here and there,

1:46.4

which suggests that female drink driving was slightly on the rise in the late 1990s,

...

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