Federal Reserve's December Rate Cut Chance Slides to 30% | CoinDesk Daily

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4.8 • 689 Ratings

🗓️ 20 November 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Will the Fed cut rates again before the end of 2025? The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has decreased significantly, now standing at 30% according to CME's FedWatch tool. The slide comes amid concerns over a prolonged data blackout, as the Labor Department confirmed that it wouldn't release the jobs data for October. How will bitcoin and other risk assets react to the macro gloom? CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - Break the cycle of exploitation. Break down the barriers to truth. Break into the next generation of privacy. Break Free. Free to scroll without being monetized. Free from censorship. Freedom without fear. We deserve more when it comes to privacy. Experience the next generation of blockchain that is private and inclusive by design. Break free with Midnight, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠midnight.network/break-free⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Take out a ⁠⁠Figure Crypto-Backed Loan⁠⁠, allowing you to borrow against your BTC, ETH, or SOL with 12-month terms and no prepayment penalties. They have the lowest rates in the industry at 8.91%, allowing you to access instant cash or buy more Bitcoin without triggering a tax event. Unlock your crypto’s potential today at Figure! ⁠⁠https://figuremarkets.co/coindesk⁠⁠ - Genius Group has partnered with CoinDesk for Bitcoin Treasury Month, launching the Genius x CoinDesk Quest. Participants can join the Bitcoin Academy, complete free microcourses from experts like Natalie Brunell and Saifedean Ammous, and enter to win 1,000,000 GEMs (worth 1 BTC) promoting bitcoin education and adoption.Learn more at: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠geniusgroup.ai/coindesk-bitcoin-treasury-month/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.

Transcript

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0:00.0	The odds for a December Fed rate cut collapses to 30%, and Kathy Woods-Arg Invest buys the dip.
0:06.2	You're watching Coin Desk Daily. I'm your host, Jen Sanassi.
0:13.0	The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut has nearly evaporated dropping to a low of 29.8%.
0:20.6	That's according to the CME's Fedwatch tool.
0:23.2	Just a month ago, traders were anticipating a 98% chance at the central bank would issue a 25 basis point cut.
0:29.8	The polymarket contract on the Fed's December decision also slid to just 26%.
0:34.2	The collapse in conviction comes as the Labor Department confirmed it will not release
0:38.4	October jobs data due to the record-breaking government shutdown, leaving policymakers flying blind.
0:43.9	Adding to the uncertainty the October Fed meeting minutes reveals deep fissures among officials
0:48.3	on whether to pause or cut rates. Despite the macro gloom, Bitcoin remains subdued, trading at
0:53.7	around $90,000.
0:55.1	Utility or privacy. The transparency of traditional blockchains forces a difficult choice.
1:00.4	Break free from this limitation with midnight.
1:03.4	Coin desk Bitcoin Treasury Month is brought to you by Genius Group, a Bitcoin treasury
1:06.9	company listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker, GNS.
1:12.5	Looking for the best way to unlock your crypto's liquidity, take out a crypto-backed loan with Figger Today. Capitalizing on
1:18.2	the dip, Kathy Woods-Arc Invest deployed $39.6 million into crypto equities as to broader
1:23.5	market slid. The firm purchased $16.9 million in shares of Bullish, the owner of
1:28.1	Coin Desk, $15.1 million in stable coin issuer of Circle and $7.6 million in Bitmine
1:34.8	immersion technologies, a major eth accumulator led by Tom Lee. The buying spree coincided with a sharp
1:40.3	correction in crypto stocks with Circle and Bitmine both on the dip as of market close.
1:45.4	The move aligns with ARC's strategy of accumulating high conviction assets when prices are
	...

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