Fed will continue to hover over markets
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 26 July 2023
⏱️ 6 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Read a transcript of this episode at Seeking Alpha.
Show Links
Bulls Are Partying Like It's 1999: Powell Tightens The Noose
The Fed May Not Be One And Done, But Has Even More Hikes To Come
The Fed Should Continue Hiking Past 6%
AT&T rises as cash flow, Q2 profits exceed expectations
Coca-Cola rallies after smashing organic revenue expectations, hiking guidance
Boeing’s stock rises as plane maker reports narrower loss
Thermo Fisher cites macro concerns after Q2 miss
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:09.0 | Good afternoon. Today is Wednesday, July 26, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. |
| 0:14.0 | Our top story in today's session, Happy Fed Day. |
| 0:18.0 | As you heard earlier on the Wall Street Breakfast Podcast, |
| 0:20.0 | the FOMC result is baked in as far as the market is concerned. |
| 0:24.0 | Fed Funds futures price in a near certain chance they hike by 25 basis points this afternoon. |
| 0:30.0 | Looking down the road, there is a 40% chance of another hike. No cuts are expected until March. |
| 0:36.4 | Here's what Seeking Alpha's analysts are saying about the Fed. |
| 0:40.3 | Mike Zagardi sees a material risk of a six-handle upper bound on Fed funds if inflation rears its head in the coming weeks. |
| 0:48.0 | Currently, the terminal rate of 5.43% November, implying 5.3% money markets offers an attractive alternative to pricey stocks. |
| 0:57.0 | Logan Kane notes that credit is rapidly tightening, boosting the odds of a market correction where panic buyers turn into panic sellers, |
| 1:05.0 | real price discovery will likely come in autumn as volatility rises. |
| 1:10.0 | Christopher Rob is expecting more hawkish rhetoric for Fed Chief Jaypile today as he tries to wrangle a coalition amongst the uncertainty. |
| 1:18.0 | But he says economic data points to extraordinary resilience in the US consumer and the economy |
| 1:24.1 | suggesting a soft landing is increasingly likely. |
| 1:27.0 | According to Mott Capital, the Fed's biggest challenge now is how to rein in |
| 1:31.4 | financial conditions. They say the job is no longer about |
| 1:34.5 | bringing inflation down, it's about keeping it down and not allowing it to rise |
| 1:38.7 | again. So expect the FOMC to indicate one more hike after today and to say that they'll do more if needed. |
| 1:46.5 | And De Meir Togich makes the case for the Fed to hike past 6% and induce a deeper recession if it's serious about getting inflation down to the 2% target. |
| 1:57.0 | Now a look at today's trading. |
| 1:59.0 | Stocks are slightly lower but unsurprisingly cautious. |
... |
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