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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Fed’s Open Mouth Operations Having Complications – Ep. 54

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Peter Schiff

Business, Politics, News, Investing, Business News

4.65.9K Ratings

🗓️ 19 February 2015

⏱️ 21 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary



* Two days of bad economic news this shortened week
* The Fed still says the economy is recovering
* Recent FOMC minutes maintains pretense they can raise interest rates
* FOMC members are worried about raising rates "too soon"
* The Fed is worried about how to remove the word "patient" from communications
* How confident can the Fed be in the "recovery" if they still fear raising interest rates?
* The "recovery" was just a bubble masquerading as a recovery
* If we had a real recovery the Fed could have already raised rates
* They are now concerned about weakness overseas
* They are worried about a strong dollar
* They expressed concerns about the risks of lower oil prices
* Low inflation causes concerns
* The Fed is clearly paying attention to the negative economic news
* Empire State Manufacturing down
* Home Builder Confidence at 4-month low
* Industrial production weak
* PPI number declined .8
* Eventually the economic numbers will force the Fed to acknowledge weakness and resume stimulus
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Transcript

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0:00.0

about Peter Schiff's show.

0:08.8

Well we are two trading days into a four trading day holiday shortened week.

0:14.8

We had the Monday Presidents Day holiday where the markets were closed and thus far we've

0:21.0

had two days of bad economic news which is pretty much par for the course that we've been

0:25.8

playing on for some time.

0:27.7

Yet the markets don't care, the foreign exchange markets don't care, the precious metals

0:33.4

markets don't care.

0:34.4

In fact gold sold off rather sharply yesterday despite the fact that we have all this bad

0:40.3

economic news because everybody is still confident that the economy is in great shape

0:45.4

because the Fed tells us that the economy is in great shape.

0:49.3

After all they're getting ready to raise interest rates and they wouldn't be doing that.

0:54.0

But they weren't so confident that the economy was recovering.

0:57.0

So we ignore all the bad economic news and blindly follow the Fed.

1:02.3

And in fact the Fed came out today with the release of its most recent FOMC minutes.

1:08.1

And I guess everybody was anticipating more positive spin from the Fed and while we got

1:14.1

some, the Fed still maintains the pretense that they can raise interest rates without derailing

1:20.3

the recovery.

1:21.4

Right.

1:22.4

When the fact of the matter is there is no recovery.

1:24.2

So there's nothing to derail.

1:26.3

But if they raise rates we'd have a train wreck.

1:29.1

And I think even if they don't we will.

...

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