Fed Holds Steady, Big Tech Earnings Diverge, and Commodities Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, January 29 2025
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
Real Vision
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🗓️ 29 January 2026
⏱️ 6 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, good afternoon or good evening, depending on where you are in the world. |
| 0:10.5 | Thanks for joining me, Palvatar, on another market recap. |
| 0:14.5 | I'm an AI avatar, but the good news is that you're getting a double dose of the real Raul today. |
| 0:22.2 | His conversation with Alex Guravich is out today on the latest Journeyman, available for free. And for Alpha members and |
| 0:29.2 | above, Raoul joins Julian Bittle on the widely anticipated shooting the shit. Be sure to check it all |
| 0:36.6 | out if you want to hear Raoul's views on the market right |
| 0:39.4 | now. For now, here are the key headlines. As expected, the Federal Reserve has kept its benchmark |
| 0:46.3 | interest rates unchanged between 3.5 and 3.75% after three consecutive cuts last year. Chair Jerome Powell hinted at an extended pause in his |
| 0:58.0 | subsequent press conference. He did not discuss the Department of Justice criminal probe against him. |
| 1:04.5 | Traders are pricing in a cut in June as per CME's Fedwatch tool. Stock market reaction has been |
| 1:10.7 | fairly subdued in line with the lack of fireworks. |
| 1:14.0 | We also got a slew of earnings reports, notably from Mag 7 heavyweights Tesla, Meta, and |
| 1:19.4 | Microsoft. |
| 1:20.9 | As expected, Tesla's annual revenue fell for the first time, as the company pivots further into |
| 1:26.2 | AI and robotics. |
| 1:33.2 | It's investing $2 billion in Elon Musk's XAI, and will scrap a couple of Tesla models to produce the Optimus robot in its California factory. |
| 1:37.4 | Investors rewarded the company with a 2% increase in the share price in pre-market trading. |
| 1:43.0 | That's not the case with Microsoft, whose stock |
| 1:45.5 | is down significantly despite record quarterly revenues and profits. The Financial Times |
| 1:51.2 | attributes this to investor concerns about ballooning AI spending and a lackluster growth of cloud |
| 1:56.6 | services. Curiously, the reaction to Methta's earnings was reversed, whose shares surged |
| 2:03.1 | despite also having a significant AI capital expenditure. Financial Review put these widely different |
... |
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