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Wall Street Breakfast

Fed Decision Day, Then What?

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 3 May 2023

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Federal Reserve expected to boost policy rate by 25 bps again - then pause? (00:44) Icahn Enterprises (IEP) drops on new Hindenburg Research short report (06:32). How Investors Should Think About AI, Micron (MU), Tesla (TSLA) And The Fed With Chaim Siegel (03:37).

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street breakfast, where we cover the top news for investors every morning.

0:07.0

Good morning. Today is Wednesday, May 3rd, and I'm your host Julie Morgan.

0:12.0

The Federal Reserve is expected to boost the policy rate by 25

0:16.1

basis points. Then what? Today is stock of the week Wednesday. I'm also following Micron because I think that's the most important

0:25.1

stock in the world. Kimes Siegel is the investing group leader of Fed trader on

0:29.4

seeking Alpha. Today he's sharing why he believes Micron is so important.

0:35.0

Revlon emerges from Chapter 11 protection.

0:38.0

The CEO says the company looks to unlock the full potential of its brands.

0:44.0

Our top story.

0:45.6

Federal Reserve Policymakers met Tuesday

0:48.1

and the meeting will continue today

0:50.2

to assess whether they've done enough to cool down the hottest inflation seen in 40 years.

0:56.0

Market participants are betting that the Federal Open Market Committee is not finished yet in its rate hiking moves.

1:02.0

The debate at the Fed is expected to be between a finished yet in its rate hiking moves.

1:02.8

The debate at the Fed is expected to be between a 25 basis point rate hike, which would bring the

1:07.7

Federal funds target rate range to 5 to 5.5 percent, or keeping the range at 4.3 quarters to 5.5 percent or keeping the range at 4 and 3 quarters to 5 percent.

1:16.0

But market participants expect little in the way of debate.

1:20.0

As of this morning, according to the CME Fed Watch tool, investors see an 88% probability

1:26.5

of a 25 basis point hike on Wednesday, up from a 48.4% probability a month ago.

1:33.6

One data point that may make the case for another rate hike

1:36.9

is weekly jobless claims, which unexpectedly fell on Thursday.

1:41.1

The labor market has been persistently resilient and Fed Chair Jerome Powell has

...

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