4.5 • 705 Ratings
🗓️ 16 August 2019
⏱️ 11 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to Axis ProRodda, where we take just 10 minutes to get you smarter on the collision of tech, business, and politics. |
0:12.4 | Sponsored by Silicon Valley Bank, Ideas Bank here. |
0:15.7 | I'm Danper Mack. |
0:16.6 | On today's show, why 8chan just showed up in an IPO filing and President Trump's next real estate play. |
0:23.0 | But first, fears of a global recession. So at the beginning of 2018, the big global business |
0:30.2 | and economic story was synchronized growth, or this idea that the world's 10 largest economies |
0:36.0 | were all getting larger at the same time. |
0:39.2 | It was an extraordinary moment, driven in part by government spending and also relative |
0:44.2 | peace, not really war anywhere. But now, the picture appears to have reversed itself. Three of |
0:50.1 | Europe's four largest economies are heading toward recession. So is Japan. China's growth is at its |
0:55.8 | slowest pace in decades. U.S. growth slowed last quarter, and as you've likely heard by now, |
1:01.4 | the yield curve just inverted, something a technical mark that has preceded every single recession |
1:07.3 | here for the past 70 years. So why now? Why the change? Well, pick your economic |
1:12.2 | poison. All of that government spending had to slow eventually, as did tax cut sugar highs here |
1:17.4 | in the U.S. The trade wars obviously are not, as President Trump once suggested, good and easy |
1:22.4 | to win. And rising nationalism elsewhere has created its own subtler trade challenges. |
1:28.1 | Oh, and the tools that central banks traditionally used to fight recessions, namely lowering rates, |
1:33.6 | it's been made more difficult by the fact that by historical standards, rates are already pretty low. |
1:39.1 | They're even negative in some countries. |
1:40.9 | The old adage is that when America sneezes, the whole world gets a cold. But |
1:45.2 | sometimes, and we might be seeing this now, it can work in reverse. In 15 seconds, we'll go deeper |
1:50.2 | with Axios Markets editor Dionne Roboen. But first, this. Have a great idea for a startup? |
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