Fantasy Files: How do quarterbacks perform without their No. 1 wide receiver?
PFF Fantasy Football Podcast
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 2.2K Ratings
🗓️ 16 July 2021
⏱️ 17 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Host Ian Hartitz breaks down how present-day quarterbacks have performed without the services of their No. 1 wide receiver. The main lesson for the day: correlation doesn't imply causation. Football is such a random sport and features a small sample size; be careful about honing in on one single variable. With that said, Ian does believe there's an argument to be made that the "Ewing Theory" could apply to a team losing their alpha target-hog receiver. Ian only finds five applicable instances of a quarterback missing their No. 1 receiver for an ample amount of time, but does seem to believe Matt Ryan's performance without Julio Jones could be actionable in fantasy land ahead of 2021.
Example from last season: Josh Allen (1:55) Why some QBs get better without their WR1 (2:53) Setting the parameters (4:10) Baker has been better without OBJ (6:10) Mahomes has better YPA without Tyreek: something or nothing? (8:27) Drew Lock without Sutton is inconclusive (10:05) Aaron Rodgers without Davante is similar to Mahomes-Tyreek (10:42) What Matt Ryan without Julio tells us (11:06) Where to draft Matt Ryan (14:08)
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I'm your host, Ian Harditz. |
| 0:02.0 | And today we continue our fancy |
| 0:03.0 | files series with a look at how |
| 0:05.0 | quarterbacks do without the |
| 0:07.0 | number one wide receiver. |
| 0:09.0 | Now football inherently is an |
| 0:11.0 | incredibly random game. |
| 0:13.0 | We have 11 guys on both sides |
| 0:15.0 | of the field. |
| 0:16.0 | I mean, baseball is what 10 people |
| 0:18.0 | total on a field at once. |
| 0:20.0 | And then we have a |
| 0:23.0 | big, big, big, big, big |
| 0:25.0 | big, big, big, big, big |
| 0:27.0 | big, big big big big big. |
| 0:28.0 | Then we have two teams in the |
| 0:31.0 | games that are a sample of |
| 0:32.0 | a sample on a field at once. |
| 0:34.0 | Basketball is 10. |
| 0:35.0 | Hockey, I believe is 10 football |
| 0:37.0 | we got 22. |
| 0:38.0 | There's also 17 games stand |
... |
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