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Cato Podcast

Facts Trump Fear on China's Economy

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 22 September 2015

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

American fears over China's future economic power need to be tempered with some evidence. The same goes for hopes that low-value-added manufacturing that has left the United States will some day return. Gerald P. O'Driscoll, Jr. comments.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2015.

0:06.0

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:07.0

China has bigger economic problems than most people know.

0:10.0

The problems of state-led capitalism have revealed themselves in recent years, but many of the hopes of returning long departed manufacturing jobs to the United States are also rooted in a poor understanding of how economic development works.

0:23.2

So says Cato Institute Senior Fellow Jerry O'Driscoll.

0:26.1

China's stock market crash, the recent stock market crash, indicates cumulative problems

0:32.1

in the Chinese economic model.

0:34.3

After the global financial crisis, China engaged in even more aggressive expansionary monetary

0:41.0

policy and government spending than did the west in order to prevent

0:46.8

the global recession from impacting the Chinese economy.

0:51.0

The result of years of this has been they built up a lot of excesses and the excesses have appeared in asset markets in in real estate markets and in the stock market.

1:02.0

The government has encouraged its citizens to buy stocks and encouraged state-owned enterprises to buy stocks in order to prop up the stock market.

1:11.0

There already has been a crash in real estate and then the stock market

1:15.6

was a secondary crash. And as I said, this indicates very significant stresses in the Chinese economic model.

1:25.2

Okay with respect to the United States how does that impact what the United States

1:30.0

has done with its decision recently to not begin the long anticipated process of

1:37.5

raising interest rates. Yes the Chinese situation impacts on the United States, first of all directly because of financial

1:46.1

linkages.

1:47.1

Remember, China is our biggest creditor and there's a lot of investment by Western, including

1:52.2

United States companies in China and then it has

1:56.3

also an impact that of Chinese economic growth slows and countries that export to China are affected.

2:04.0

U.S. doesn't export a lot to China, but other countries in the West do.

...

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