Exposing The Big Lie About Stock Buybacks (with Michael, Barry, and Ed Yardeni)
The Compound and Friends
Josh Brown
4.7 • 2.2K Ratings
🗓️ 15 November 2019
⏱️ 15 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Live from the Compound. My name is Michael Baddnick. I'm here with Barry Rittholz and Ed Yardenny of Yardenny research. |
| 0:06.0 | Bybacks have become the topic that you're not just for Wall Street, but also for Main Street. |
| 0:12.0 | Correct. |
| 0:13.0 | And one of the things that people use to make arguments is data. |
| 0:16.7 | And I was flabbergasted where last week I read in Barons that you said that some of the data |
| 0:21.7 | that we're using might not be correct. |
| 0:24.0 | What did you mean? How did you find this out? |
| 0:26.0 | Well, the Federal Reserve puts out flow of funds data on a quarterly basis. |
| 0:31.0 | And is that the Z1? That's the Z1. Okay1 and it's very detailed I really love that data set it's very |
| 0:38.0 | been very good at understanding with a little bit of a lag what the financial system is doing and everybody uses the |
| 0:47.0 | table that shows who's buying equities and who's issuing equities and what that data has been showing for a few years is that nobody's |
| 0:56.7 | buying stock other than corporations buying back their own shares and I've been staring at that for a while |
| 1:05.1 | and just something just didn't make sense to me. |
| 1:08.0 | Because when you look at the S&P 500 earnings |
| 1:10.6 | per share, and then you look at aggregate earnings of the S&P 500 it's not |
| 1:16.4 | that big a difference in terms of the growth rate it's about 1% per year from |
| 1:20.8 | 2011 to 2018. |
| 1:22.9 | So if they're buying hundreds of billions |
| 1:25.4 | of dollars of their stock back, |
| 1:27.5 | why aren't the numbers much bigger? |
| 1:30.0 | And I think the answer is, with regards |
| 1:31.6 | to the flow of funds data, is that they forgot to include a category called employee stock plans. |
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