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The Next Big Idea

EXPONENTIAL AGE: Everything Is Accelerating. Who’s at the Wheel?

The Next Big Idea

Next Big Idea Club

Science, Society & Culture, Social Sciences, Education

4.41.3K Ratings

🗓️ 17 November 2021

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

We’ve all seen the meme. Two images, side by side. On the left, a photo of Jeff Bezos circa 1998. His hair is receding, his smile geeky, his sweater bulky and brown. The caption? “I sell books.” Then, on the right, there’s Jeff in 2017. His pate is as smooth as Lex Luther’s, his biceps as bulbous as Vin Diesel’s, a satisfied look on his sunglassed face. "I sell whatever the f**k I want,“ reads the caption. That meme is a pretty good metaphor for the era of radical change through which we are living, an era Azeem Azhar calls "the exponential age." Breakneck advances in technology allowed a humble bookseller to become chieftain of the world’s largest online retailer. And don’t expect those technological advances to slow down anytime soon. In the next few decades, new developments in everything from AI and 3D printing to synthetic biology and gene-editing won’t just change the way we live: they’ll allow already monolithic companies to keep growing at an unprecedented pace while our elected leaders scramble to keep up. The gap between rapidly advancing technology and our slow-moving society is the subject of Azeem’s marvelous new book, “The Exponential Age: How Accelerating Technology is Transforming Business, Politics and Society.” Recently named one of the best books of the year by the Financial Times, it’s at once a rousing survey of the new technologies that may change the way we live and, at the same time, a pointed reminder that those transformations will have profound political, economic, and social consequences.

Transcript

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0:00.0

How old are the kids?

0:07.2

Minor 11, 13 and 16, three boys.

0:12.3

Oh my God, you were up to the same sort of naughty business

0:16.4

about the same days I was by the sounds of things

0:19.1

because minor 11, 14 and 16.

0:22.0

Ha, ha, I love it.

0:23.4

Yeah, I find you doing on the 3rd of January 2010.

0:28.3

I'm Rufus Griskym, and this is the next big idea.

0:32.5

Today, what if our technological progress is not linear?

0:36.3

What if it's exponential?

0:38.0

What will the world look like in 10 years?

0:39.9

And do we have a say?

0:59.3

My next door neighbors are building a new house.

1:02.0

And this has been the soundtrack of my life

1:04.2

for the last few months.

1:07.2

Sawing, drilling, hammering, so much hammering.

1:18.9

According to the U.S. Census Bureau,

1:20.9

it takes seven months to build a house,

1:23.3

and it seems to be taking twice as long

1:25.3

in our corner of Long Island.

1:27.3

But in Austin, Texas, they figured out

1:29.3

how to build a house in less than a week.

...

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