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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

Expectations Investing with Michael Mauboussin

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Investing, Business

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 3 September 2022

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Michael Mauboussin is an adjunct professor of finance at the Columbia Business School and the Head of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Bill Mann interviewed Mauboussin in front of a live audience about a range of investing topics, including: - The approach of "expectations investing" and how to apply it - Why a company's base case for growth is so important - Peloton’s faulty growth predictions - Businesses with real option value   Companies mentioned: SBUX, PTON, AMZN, GOOG, GOOGL, WMT, TGT   Host: Bill Mann Guest: Michael Mauboussin Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

There are certain businesses that have option value, right?

0:04.9

Which is an option is the right but not the obligation to do that.

0:07.9

If there are market leaders in uncertain markets with smart management teams and access

0:13.2

to capital, they may be able to see opportunities as they present themselves and take advantage

0:18.6

of them.

0:19.6

So we wrote about it in 2001 and ended up being lucky more than the impression, but Amazon.com

0:25.8

was a great case in point.

0:30.4

I'm Chris Hill and that's Michael Mobison.

0:32.9

He's an author, a professor of finance at Columbia Business School, head of research at

0:37.6

Counterpoint Global, a division of Morgan Stanley.

0:40.4

But at the Motley Fool, we like to think of Mobison as the Investors Investor.

0:45.0

There are other investors who are more famous.

0:46.8

There are certainly other investors who spend more time on television, but if we could grab

0:50.8

coffee with any investor, Mobison would be the first pick for a lot of us.

0:55.0

At our full-fest investing conference last week, Bill Mann interviewed Mobison in front

0:59.3

of a live audience.

1:00.6

They talked about the approach of expectations investing.

1:03.8

Why a company's base case for growth is so important and much more.

1:11.1

One of your most famous pieces of work is expectations investing and it's a wonderful

1:18.7

process.

1:19.7

I think that one of the great things that you have brought to the table and a lot of people

1:24.0

call you the Investors Investor is the thought of having the market inform you what it is

...

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