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Politics Theory Other

Excerpt - Is a Le Pen presidency possible? w/ Sebastian Budgen

Politics Theory Other

Politics Theory Other

News

4.8551 Ratings

🗓️ 12 April 2022

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Sebastian Budgen returns to PTO to talk about the first round of the French presidential election, and the prospects for the second round vote later this month. We discussed what Marine Le Pen may have learned from her heavy defeat in 2017, how Eric Zemmour's far-right candidacy affected the campaign and why the left can take some heart from the impressive result for Jean-Luc Melenchon - that came close to pushing Le Pen and the national rally into third place.

Transcript

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0:00.0

So we're speaking the day after the results of Sunday's first round of France's presidential

0:04.3

election and as widely expected, Emmanuel Macron will, as in 2017, face Marina Le Pen of the

0:10.2

national rally in the second round vote on April 24. When we last spoke, Eric Zamore was riding

0:15.7

high in the polls and seemed to threaten Le Pen's place in the second round by splitting the far-right

0:20.5

vote. Why do you think Le Pen in the end the second round by splitting the far-right vote.

0:21.4

Why do you think Le Pen, in the end, managed to actually increase her vote share on her first

0:25.2

round result in 2017, in spite of the new competition from Zemort?

0:30.7

I think Zemort was a kind of firework that went up in the sky and exploded and then fell down rapidly afterwards.

0:40.9

As you remember, he was up to 17, 18 percent in the polls when he announced his candidacy

0:47.7

and did his big rally and so on.

0:50.6

And at that point, it did indeed seem like the far-right vote would be splits 50-50 or even more.

0:59.2

In fact, what happened was that Zimur played the role of a lightning rod, if you like, or a cover for Manny Nupin and her party.

1:10.7

So because Zimor was so outrageous and aggressive and took such

1:18.5

radical, discursive positions, he made her seem like she was something of a moderate. So for example,

1:26.9

his, you know, they both were pro-Putin,

1:29.7

but, you know, Zemo had gone much further previously to this election, saying that he was,

1:34.6

you know, he dreamt of the French Putin, that, you know, Ukraine wasn't a real country. During

1:40.8

the election campaign, he initially said that France shouldn't accept Ukrainian refugees

1:47.3

and so on. So he was much more extreme in his pro-Putting positions than Marine Le Pen.

1:53.5

Although, you know, of course, organically speaking, Marine Le Pen is much more linked to the Russian regime

1:59.3

because her previous election campaign was financed by a Russian

2:03.9

bank and that was probably arranged by somebody within the Putin circle. And she has expressed

...

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