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The Dividend Cafe

Everything There is to Know about the Stock Market

The Dividend Cafe

The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group

Retirement Planning, Wealth Management, Investing, Business, Dividend Growth Investing, Estate Planning, Monetary Policy, Macro Economics

4.9572 Ratings

🗓️ 9 July 2021

⏱️ 21 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today I am going to do something an investment manager who writes about investing all the time ought to do more – I am going to talk about the market.

Now maybe you think I do that all the time, and you’d be right. But truth be told, my investment writing is very purposely peppered with the stuff I think most matters to investors – behavioral practices, monetary policy, evergreen principles, foundational truths. The markets are to be found in and through all of it, but in Dividend Cafe, I rarely am just saying, “Hey, here’s the skinny on the stock market.” I do plenty of that day by day in the DC Today.

What I want to do in the Dividend Cafe today is just look at the overall stock market – why we feel the way we do about it, why most people offering a short-term point of view are totally full of it, and how we view the present environment. I believe you will find these insights counter-cultural, and that ought to pique your interest.

DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends in your understanding of economic life.

0:12.4

Well, hello and welcome to this week's Dividend Cafe. I want to welcome you listening to the podcast as well as those of you watching the video sitting here

0:21.5

in the new york city office um it was a short week because of the monday holiday for independence

0:26.8

day uh but it was very weird week and i'm about halfway into the market day here on uh

0:33.5

uh friday and it looks like for all this hubbub we're going to end the week kind of flat.

0:40.1

We had a big down day and then a big up day and then a big down day and now a big up day.

0:45.3

And anything could change the next few hours of Friday activity, but the chart sort of looks like a W.

0:52.2

And that's what this week has wrought.

0:55.3

And so you go to enhance volatility.

0:57.5

I'm talking about all the things going on day-to-day in the market in D.C.

1:01.1

Today.com is where we want people going for daily market action, what went up,

1:08.1

what went down and why and what the Fed's doing and public policy,

1:11.8

all those types of things. And here at Divida Cafe, I want to continue talking about the concepts,

1:18.9

the principles, the beliefs, the macroeconomic factors. You can call it higher level stuff,

1:25.6

but I think it's extremely important as foundational to

1:29.6

understanding everything else that goes on day by day, week by week, and also just stuff

1:34.3

that happens inside of our portfolio. But what I want to do today is talk to you about the

1:40.3

stock market. And you could say, well, you talk about that all time, and I do. But I really do

1:46.7

believe that the approach I'm taking right now, this is not something I do a lot, where I want to

1:51.6

give you kind of our perspective on how we think about investing in the stock market. And one of the

1:58.0

reasons that I'm making a distinction between what I'm about to talk about and what we usually talk about is that I don't believe we invest in the stock market for our clients.

2:08.3

As a general rule, when we have exposure to stocks and we have significant exposure, billions of dollars of exposure. My view is that we own things that

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