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Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis

EV Market Share is Overrated, FSD Updates, UBS Increases Price Target (03.03.21)

Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis

Rob Maurer

Tech News, Technology, News

4.81.1K Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2021

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

➤ An argument against a commonly-used metric to evaluate Tesla and the electric vehicles landscape
➤ Morgan Stanley issues note on Tesla, Ford Mustang Mach E, US EV market
➤ UBS increased TSLA price target
➤ Elon Musk tweets about the next version of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving Beta
➤ Whole Mars tests Tesla FSD vs. Waymo: https://bit.ly/2Oj2dJV
➤ SpaceX completes test flight of Starship SN10

Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/teslapodcast
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Plaid producer Who Why
Plaid producer Ice Lakes Investments
Ludicrous producer Fred Hassen
Executive producer Jeremy Cooke
Executive producer Troy Cherasaro
Executive producer Bradford Ferguson
Executive producer Andre/Maria Kent
Executive producer Jeff Sheets
Executive producer Jessie Chimni
Music by Evan Schaeffer

Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hey everybody, we're out of malware here and we're going to be talking a little bit more

0:10.3

about a metric that is often overemphasized for Tesla at this stage in the company's

0:14.5

growth.

0:15.5

And that is electric vehicle market share.

0:16.7

This has been brought into the forefront by a Ford release and a Morgan Stanley note

0:20.5

today.

0:21.5

We've gotten a few questions there so I want to share my thoughts.

0:23.6

We also have an updated note from UBS, some news on the full self-driving beta.

0:27.4

And I'll probably be recording while SpaceX tries again for their SN10 test flight which

0:31.3

earlier today was aborted, but at the start of this recording at least they do plan

0:34.9

to try again so maybe at the end we'll have an answer to that.

0:38.0

First up, quick click at the stock, Tesla today finished down 4.8% to $653.20, that compared

0:43.9

to the NASDAQ with a tough day down 2.7%, but the Dow was only down 0.4%, so tougher day

0:49.2

in general for higher tech stocks.

0:51.2

Alright, so let's get into market share here.

0:53.1

Of course we talked a little bit about this yesterday in relation to European market share,

0:57.2

but the conversation today has shifted over to US EV market share with Ford's release

1:01.5

today that for the first full month of sales on the Ford Mach-E, they sold 3,700 vehicles.

1:07.4

They also added that nearly 70% of Mach-E orders are from competitive brands while just

1:12.4

over 1-5th were sold in California, including that to highlight the fact that the Mach-E

1:16.9

is not just cannibalizing Ford sales but rather acquiring sales from other brands.

1:21.0

So this release from Ford then coincided with an updated note from Morgan Stanley with

...

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