Episode 4: Why the Buy Low Model works with Josh Hermsmeyer
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 28 July 2019
⏱️ 38 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Adam Levitan chats with Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight.com about his Buy Low Model and how it applies to successful DFS tournament play. They also discuss if expensive wine really is better, the Air Yards metric, Defense Doesn't Matter and lots more.
The Buy Low Model will exclusively be available on EstablishTheRun.com this season.
TIMESTAMPS: Josh’s background in Fantasy (1:59) | The football analytics niche (7:02) | An introduction to Air Yards (9:04) | Why is the NFL behind in analytics? (12:15) | What teams do analytics well (16:42) | Establishing The Run (19:50) | The Buy Low Model (21:53) | The “defense doesn’t matter” take (28:56)
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | And I'm Oh, Hello and welcome to episode 4 of the official Establish the Run.com podcast. My name is Adam Levitan. I'm one of the co-founders |
| 0:38.0 | here at ETR and today I am joined by the purveyor of the industry leading Bylo model, the man behind the infamous |
| 0:46.3 | defense doesn't matter debate, a man who I believe vacuum seals his meat in a bag before he cooks it. |
| 0:54.2 | It is of course Josh Hormsmeyer of Aryyards.com |
| 0:57.4 | of Establish the run. |
| 0:58.9 | Josh, what's going on? |
| 1:00.5 | Yeah, it is true. |
| 1:01.2 | I boil my meat. |
| 1:02.3 | I boil my meat like fortnightly, at least every couple of weeks. It's pretty good though. You guys got to try that sous meat stuff. It's delicious. |
| 1:09.0 | There's something about not grilling meat that rubs me the wrong way and you know for people have listened to the edge pod for a while I'm very particular about my meat putting it in a plastic bag and boiling it does not seem like it would be |
| 1:21.0 | ideal. I like that kind of grilled smoky kind of half burned flavor you know what I mean |
| 1:27.8 | oh but you get that too so you actually you sear it on the grill afterwards you just just the inside's perfect so like the problem with |
| 1:35.2 | when you're cooking on the grill unless it's super hot like they do at Roos Chris where they have a special |
| 1:39.6 | cup special oven and they get super super hot and it gives you that crust immediately. |
| 1:44.0 | It takes too long to get the crust so the inside gets overcooked and you get that ring and |
| 1:48.8 | with the suveed everything in the middle is perfectly cooked. |
| 1:51.7 | You get that sear on the outside you get your |
| 1:53.4 | crust and you got the best of all worlds. All right anyways we are extremely |
| 2:00.0 | excited to have Josh's by a low model exclusively on established the run this year |
| 2:04.0 | we'll be part of our in-the-season package but I think I want the people to get to know |
| 2:08.6 | you a little bit though because if they only know you on Twitter I think they kind of |
| 2:12.3 | only know a on Twitter, I think they kind of only know a caricature of yourself, an insider, |
... |
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