Episode 300: Week 13 Betting Preview
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 2 December 2021
⏱️ 19 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Adam Levitan and Mark Dankenbring discuss every Week 13 game from a sides and totals betting perspective. To learn more about our player props packages, click here.
In this episode, we discuss:
- Every Week 13 game from a betting angle
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Links mentioned in the episode:
- Silva's Matchups Column - https://establishtherun.com/in-season-package/matchups/
- ETR's DFS Projections - https://establishtherun.com/draftkings-projections/
- Full List of In-Season Content - https://establishtherun.com/2021-in-season-content-schedule/
- Subscriber-Only Discord Instructions - https://establishtherun.com/my-account/discord/
- Adam Levitan's Player Props - https://establishtherun.com/category/levitan-player-props/
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Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Hey, hello and welcome to a week 13 edition of the official EstavisRun.com NFL betting |
| 0:23.8 | show. |
| 0:24.8 | My name is Adam Levittand, Evan Silva is making his way back from St. Louis to Chicago |
| 0:29.9 | as we speak, but I'm joined by the man who I think went 4-0 on this very show last week. |
| 0:37.8 | It is Mark Duncan bringing from our projections team, Mark, good afternoon. |
| 0:43.3 | Good afternoon. |
| 0:44.3 | I did have one loss in there, but so I think 4-1, but yeah, solid thanksgiving week for |
| 0:50.2 | sure. |
| 0:51.6 | Mark and I both live in Denver and is currently 73 degrees and sunny as always here in |
| 0:57.3 | Denver and yet we are virgining it up here talking about props and betting for the people |
| 1:03.0 | shout out to us. |
| 1:04.2 | Want to be very clear here that the biggest reason we've been so successful betting |
| 1:09.1 | props were currently 125 and 63 in the NFL, 191 and 112 in NBA. |
| 1:14.6 | The biggest reason is the projections team getting market share, getting the usage right |
| 1:20.4 | for every player in every game so the model has the right data to run with is really time |
| 1:25.0 | consuming really hard to do. |
| 1:27.7 | So shout out to Mark for being on top of that and everybody else on our projections team. |
| 1:32.8 | Today, we are mostly going to talk props, maybe a little size and totals. |
| 1:38.8 | None of these will be official props, they're a bit too thin, they're more of IKBs and |
| 1:43.3 | what I mean by IKB is I know better. |
| 1:45.3 | In other words, just based on projection, they're not a bet, but for me, for I, you're humble |
| 1:51.6 | King GP P bro, I indeed know better. |
... |
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