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The Fat Emperor Podcast

Ep80 Latest DATA and EVIDENCE - Have our Lockdowns been Effective?

The Fat Emperor Podcast

ivor cummins

Health & Fitness

4.8766 Ratings

🗓️ 28 May 2020

⏱️ 20 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The latest data around mortality risk realities, and the evidence For/Against Lockdowns.

In both cases the official published data and studies from the past couple of weeks.

Although no fringe material here - quite the opposite - you may still get a big surprise when you understand the actual numbers and science.

It's technical reality is nothing like that portrayed in the media - that's for sure.

VIDEO PODCAST WITH SLIDES:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VLW0_XlWl4

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

very few of them succumbed, which is great, but it does mean there's going to be a lot of people built up who are going to be very susceptible to any new virus that comes along.

0:13.6

Welcome to the Fat Emperor podcast. I'm your host, Iber Cummins.

0:18.4

Hello all. It's May 28th, and I'm going to give an update on some of the

0:23.1

figures and data around the impact of this current viral issue, primarily focusing on Europe.

0:29.7

And I'll also look at the latest evidence, published evidence, on the efficacy of lockdown

0:35.8

and what it delivered over smart basic distancing measures,

0:41.1

which you would say, of course, makes sense. So before we go ahead, just to remind people,

0:46.2

this will pass and there will be vastly more deaths from heart disease and heart attacks

0:51.6

in the coming years than ever occurred this season with

0:55.4

the coronavirus so I'd encourage you all to go to extra timemovie.com that's

1:01.7

extra timemovie.com and stream or download our new movie on stopping and

1:07.0

reversing heart disease and I think you'll find it quite fascinating. So anyway, on with the data.

1:13.6

So here we have Europe all-caused debts, which we get for previous years from Euromomo,

1:19.6

a register of all the debts and the variations from the expected debts.

1:24.6

So I'm going to show the graphs now, and it's 15 to 64 years old and over 65.

1:31.2

And there's no real impact whatsoever below 15 years.

1:35.1

Most of the impact in the upper graph here

1:37.4

is actually from people above 50,

1:40.1

but they don't have that category.

1:42.0

So you'll see here in 2018, right, which is late 17 into early 18 is the season for, you know, respiratory diseases, influences, and excess mortality you can quite clearly see over what would be expected in the normal season. And we have that for over 65s as well so this is the excess

2:03.7

mortality from the database and if you add up all of the excess mortality off the y-axis you find out

2:11.2

we had around 20,000 excess deaths in the 15 to 64 group and around 120,000 approximately in the over 65s.

...

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