The Trump administration lays out a highly restrictive set of guidelines for daily life.

The stock market collapses and San Francisco shots everything down.

I'm Ben Shapiro.

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slash Ben. Okay, so here is the DeLeo, the DeLeo gang. Right now, we are trying to figure out

exactly what the plan is. I mean, seriously, like the entire U.S. government is trying to figure out

the plan is. The entire world is trying to figure out what the plan is. This is because we can

quarantine all we want, but once the quarantine ends, once people are out and about, then is this thing just going to crop up again? And we don't know the answer to that question. So right now everything is shut down. The shutdown is basically because we are trying to, as we've explained on the show before, flatten the curve. The goal being that, yeah, everybody eventually is going to get coronavirus. It'll become part of our sort of seasonal flu, daily life is sort of the theory. But if we can flatten that curve so that it doesn't all hit at once, so the wrecking ball doesn't hit our health care system all at once, then you won't have a massive excess of cases above that dotted line that I've shown you before. The dotted line being the number of ICU beds and respirators and ventilators available for people who actually need them. So the idea is we can slow transmission to a certain extent, then eventually there will be enough beds available because people won't all be getting this at once. But here is the problem. Let's say that we lock everything down for just a couple of weeks. Let's say we lock everything down for a couple of months. And then all the young people go out and they hang out together. And then they infect one another. And then all the old people get it. Well, you may have delayed it a little bit, but unless you have radically increased the number of ICU beds and ventilators, then you've not actually bought anything. You've not actually achieved anything. because the line is still where it was before.

All you've done is basically delay a little bit the onset of the tsunami that is going to hit.

So the question right now is what is going to stop this thing? Now, the evidence is sort of interesting

and mixed on what is going to stop this thing. So in China, if we believe the Chinese statistics,

the Chinese have actually stopped this thing dead. They locked everybody down for about three months. And now there are very few new cases, according to the Chinese government. We have seen industry start to reopen. We're seeing people in the streets again. In Hong Kong, same thing. Lots of people out in the streets again. Unclear whether business has reopened at this point in South Korea or not. So the question is going to be now that people are back out and about whether they are starting to reinfect each other and whether you see the caseloads rising. Again, if not, then there is a hope that this thing is just shut down temporarily. And if it's shut down temporarily, then we can weather this thing. If, however, there is no shutdown that is temporary. If, however, it turns out that the minute we get out of our hidey holes and we start associating with one another, we're going to reinfect each other again. And then it's going to hit all the old people anyway, and we have not significantly increased the number of beds. We haven't bought ourselves any time at all. And if the vaccine takes 12 to 18 months, and the idea is that we're

supposed to shut down the entire world economy for 12 to 18 months, that is simply unsustainable,

which is why it's fascinating to see the differences between how the United States and the UK

and Denmark are treating this thing. So I mentioned this yesterday. The United States is right now

basically pursuing a policy of everybody stay home, which is based on best available information.

Everybody staying home is going to slow the transmission of the disease.

The UK was pursuing a policy originally of herd immunity.

Let everybody who's under the age of 60, walk around freely, go about their business,

get the coronavirus, develop an immunity to coronavirus, and then once it's passed

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