Ep. 965 - The Great Anti-Bernie Consolidation
The Ben Shapiro Show
The Daily Wire
4.4 • 152.4K Ratings
🗓️ 3 March 2020
⏱️ 62 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Joe Biden's allies come out of the woodwork to stop Bernie. |
| 0:03.1 | Trump fulminates over the anti-Burning coup and Chris Matthews is gone. |
| 0:07.2 | I'm Ben Shapiro. This is The Ben Shapiro Show. |
| 0:14.7 | The Ben Shapiro show is sponsored by ExpressVPN. |
| 0:17.1 | Surf the web with peace of mind. Sign up right now. Do it now. |
| 0:20.5 | At ExpressVPN.com slash Ben. Well, don right now. Do it now at expressvPN.com. |
| 0:21.8 | Well, don't worry. We will get to Chris Matthews leaving. I'm somebody say, I'm very sad about it. |
| 0:29.0 | Got to admit to you. I'm very upset. Chris Matthews, go. He's gone. Go. He went. We'll get to that |
| 0:35.7 | in a little bit. Very upset about it. One of my favorite impersonations. Finally retired. Gone to a better place. I'll see you in heaven, old friend. We'll get to Chris Matthew later on in the program. Do last it 23 years until the woke scolds got him. And that really is what happened. But we'll get to that in a little bit. We begin at this hour with the great consolidation. That's what's happening inside the Democratic Party. So I will say this Democratic Party is way, way more systematic than the Republican Party was in 2016. So remember in 2016, you had a fragmented field when you had Donald Trump, who was running straight for the nomination, and you had like eight candidates and none of them would get out. Marco Rubio wouldn't get out in favor of Cruz. Cruz wouldn't get out in favor of Rubio. |
| 1:11.8 | John Kasich for some reason was just like, I'm going to stay in for no reason, ever. Just a raisin in the sun, John Kasich. A piece of paper wadded up in your pocket that went through the washing machine. That dude was just going to stay in the race all the way to the end. And he did. and he ended up being president. |
| 1:26.4 | No, he just stated. |
| 1:27.6 | Well, the Democratic Party doesn't have the same problem. |
| 1:29.9 | They are at least systematic enough. Cusay to the also rams, guys, you need to get out. And that's pretty much what happened yesterday. Pete Buttigieg got out. Amy Klobuchar got out. And not only did they get out, they went and they endorsed Biden because it is very obvious that this race is now a Biden Sanders race. Now, Michael Bloomberg is still sitting out there somewhere just throwing wads of cash like a rapper at a strip club. I mean, just take it, just boom, making it rain everywhere. No one understands why. No one understands what he's doing, but he continues to do that, but Bloomberg is really not a threat. My prediction for tonight, Tonight is Super Tuesday. My prediction for tonight, Biden overperforms the polls. Bloomberg wildly underperforms the polls. Because as I said yesterday, my going theory about Michael Bloomberg is that he was a placeholder for the anti-Bernie sentiment, that if you felt that Biden was not a durable candidate, you said in polls that you were going to vote for Bloomberg. But now that Biden looks more durable, a lot of those votes are going to fall away from Bloomberg and back toward Biden. Now that it's become a two-person race, basically, that means that Bloomberg is not going to cross that 15% threshold that you are required to pass in order to receive delegates in all of these states. And that means that those delegates instead are going to be split among the other candidates, which means more victories for Joe Biden. So I think that Biden is going to overperform tonight. It would actually not be the world's largest shock if Joe Biden were to end up outperforming Bernie Sanders tonight. And the betting markets are reflecting this. The betting markets are now reflecting that at the very least, what you're going to see on Super Tuesday is a delegate split, that it's not going to be a Bernie runaway, that Bernie made you real well in California, but that as long as Joe Biden passes 15% in California and splits the vote at all, he is likely to emerge within 100 delegates of Bernie Sanders. And if that happens, and if it's a neck and neck race, there are a lot of big states coming up like Florida, like Georgia, where Biden can really run up the score on Bernie, make up |
| 3:08.4 | that deficit, and end up in a position to win a plurality of the votes. Now, that doesn't mean |
| 3:13.4 | that Biden is going to end up winning the Democratic nomination outright on the first ballot. |
| 3:18.3 | Right now, 538 has rejiggered all of their calculations. Here are the 538 calculations. Sixty one percent |
| 3:26.3 | chance that nobody has a majority of the delegates, that nobody has a two in three, three and five |
| 3:31.4 | chance that nobody is going to have a majority of the delegates, which technically is not an open |
| 3:36.2 | convention, but it's a contested convention because nobody wins outright. In second place is Joe Biden now. |
| 3:41.2 | So Biden has well surpassed Bernie Sanders. |
| 3:43.6 | Sanders has dropped precipitously in the 538 estimate of delegates. |
| 3:48.2 | Biden now has a 31% shot at winning a majority of the delegates. |
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