Ep 84 Season Finale: Richard Hanania on the Working-Class Realignment Myth

The Realignment

Technology, News Commentary, National Security, Marshall Kosloff, International Relations, News, Public Policy, Economics, Politics, Saager Enjeti, U.s. Politics, Policy

4.8 • 2.5K Ratings

🗓️ 17 December 2020

⏱️ 71 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Subscribe to The Realignment podcast’s new newsletter via https://therealignment.substack.com/ Richard Hanania, President of the Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology, joins The Realignment’s 2020 season finale to argue that culture wars, not economics, drive political realignments, thwarting populist efforts to reform the Democratic and Republican Parties.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Marcion Saga here. Welcome back to the realignment.
0:04.1	There's a lot of this research on the issue by issue. And so fast forwarding, just going
0:14.3	to the last couple of elections. It's not a new story. There's not been any kind of realignment
0:19.3	in this direction. Economics was a poor predictor of how you voted before 2016. It was a poor
0:25.7	predictor in 2016 and it was still a poor predictor in 2020 from what we know specifically
0:30.6	to the claim that Republicans are the working class party, which is said by people like
0:34.6	Rubio, people like Howley, people like Cruz, who are trying to build this thing into existence.
0:39.5	If you had to pick up one party as the working class party, who won 150,000 year, it was
0:44.1	actually the Democrats. Now that's correlated with race and all kinds of things, so they
0:47.9	win more blacks and effects, but Republicans are even necessarily the white working class party.
1:00.2	Thanks for tuning in to the season finale of the realignment for 2020. We are going to air this
1:07.2	episode, the special bonus tomorrow, and then close up shop until January 2021. We are very excited
1:15.3	to end this season with Richard Hananian. He's the president of the Center for Study of
1:21.5	Partisanship and Ideology, trying to say that five times fast. Brand new organization, which
1:26.0	tries to use data to test political assumptions. Now, Richard came across my radar because he wrote
1:32.7	an interesting new study with a guy named George Holley, where they look and test the assumption
1:37.6	that Donald Trump was elected in 2016 because of economic concerns. Basically, the thesis of
1:44.0	this show from a very beginning was at Trump's election in 2016, pressaged by Brexit was the
1:50.1	beginning of a political economic realignment against free market fundamentalism against the
1:55.9	traditional conservative orthodoxy within the Republican party within the conservative party in the
2:01.6	UK. You've heard it all here before. We spent hours and hours discussing that thesis. While Richard
2:07.2	tested that assumption with some interesting new data, he says, nope, literally none of that happened.
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