Ep. 425: Philip Tetlock Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following
Michael Covel
4.6 • 732 Ratings
🗓️ 19 February 2016
⏱️ 44 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
My guest today is Philip Tetloc, a Canadian American political science writer currently at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He is right at the intersection of psychology, political science and organizational behavior. Phil is also a co-principle investigator of The Good Judgment Project, a study on the art and science of prediction and forecasting.
The topic is his book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.
In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:
- What are superforecasters?
- Probabilistic thinking
- Looking at aggregate data
Jump in!
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I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.
To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/
You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/
Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast
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Twitter: @covel
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Instagram: @mikecovel
Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is Trend Following Radio, where great thinking comes alive. |
| 0:10.9 | Nobel Prize winners, legendary traders, bestselling authors, and the pros that know what drive us irrational human beings. |
| 0:21.2 | I am your host, Michael Covel, not filtered, raw, honest. |
| 0:27.3 | That's my passion. |
| 0:33.1 | Before I introduce my guests today, I have a request. |
| 0:37.6 | And this helps me to get the best guest on the planet on this show. |
| 0:42.9 | If you like this podcast, go to my iTunes page and write a review. |
| 0:50.5 | Real simple. |
| 0:51.2 | It takes a few minutes of your time. |
| 0:53.5 | I will send you for your time and toil, a free DVD of interesting information about the subjects in my world. |
| 1:02.9 | Simply send me an email, Michael at covel.com. |
| 1:07.2 | I will send that to you. |
| 1:09.6 | My guest today is Phil Tetlock. |
| 1:12.3 | He is a Canadian-American political science writer. |
| 1:15.8 | Currently at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania. |
| 1:20.3 | Phil is right there at the intersection of psychology, political science, and organizational |
| 1:25.7 | behavior. |
| 1:27.1 | His book, Out Now, super forecasting the art |
| 1:30.8 | and science of prediction. This is a book that you really have to read. Probabilistic thinking, |
| 1:39.0 | defined, exemplified. What a great piece of insight. |
| 1:45.0 | Phil is also the co-principle investigator of the Good Judgment Project. |
| 1:50.0 | What an interesting multi-year study on the art and science of prediction and forecasting. |
... |
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