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I'm Dr. Steve Turley.

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conservative civilization. This is Turley Talks.

All right, so we've got the job approval indicator that's very predictive of how the

election is going to turn out. Let's look at favorability. This is another key predictive indicator that election analysts look at.

What we tend to see in elections is that a candidate will get a vote share that is very much in alignment.

Again, we're talking within one or two points,

very much in alignment with their favorability.

So favorability tends to corroborate the predictive indicator

of job approval.

According to real clear politics polling average, Trump's favorability right now is actually at an all-time high.

He's at 44.3 percent.

With leaners, as I understand, again, these are the people who say I don't know and he said well if you had to make a choice if you find in favor of or unfavorable how I mean if you just had to make a choice right

the number goes up to about 46%.

So if you compare Trump's favorability now

to where he was, say, back in 2020,

he's currently enjoying higher favorability rating. In fact, he is the highest favorability rating.

In fact, he is the highest favorability rating

of his entire political career.

So back in 2020, his favorability

was in the low 40s.

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