Ep. 215: Irrational Exuberance Trumps All
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 23 December 2016
⏱️ 31 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* The Dow 20,000 party is going to have to wait - at least for another day
* The Dow was down a little bit today - 23 to 19,918
* The broader market was a bit weaker than the Dow
* The markets continue to shrug off very weak economic news that came out throughout the day
* We got bombarded with all sorts of negative pieces of news that ordinarily, maybe before the election of Donald Trump, would have weighed down the market
* Certainly it would have weighed on the currency markets
* The dollar would have been very weak and gold would have had a big rally
* Instead, gold was down a little bit, and the dollar rose a little bit despite very weak economic data that I will get to
* I want to start off by focusing on the stock market and the optimism which is really quite ridiculous and unfounded
* Part of the reason for the rally, though, is a lack of selling
* We have a lot of people mindlessly buying the markets, but you don't have a lot of selling
* One of the reasons is that people would rather sell in January than in December
* People are enthusiastic about Trump's presidency because he will cut taxes
* If you have a gain in the stock market, why realize that gain now in the waning trading days of 2016
* If you sell now, not only do you have to get your check into the IRS by April of next year
* But also, you've got to pay the current tax rate
* If you wait until the firs week of January, you don't have to pay taxes until a year from this coming April
* You have all that time to use the money and the tax rates may be a lot lower
* So why sell now? A lot of people are being given that advice; don't sell now - wait until January
* Who knows - this market could ring in the new year with a major sell-off
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Peter Ships Show. |
| 0:09.2 | Well the Dow 20,000 party is going to have to wait. |
| 0:12.7 | At least for another day, the Dow was down a little bit today, 23 points, 19,918. |
| 0:20.0 | So still not at that 20,000 milestone. |
| 0:25.0 | The broader mark, and I think was a bit weaker than the Dow. |
| 0:29.6 | Although the markets continue to shrug off, very weak economic news that came out throughout |
| 0:36.6 | the day. |
| 0:37.6 | We got bombarded with all sorts of negative pieces of news that ordinarily, maybe before |
| 0:44.5 | the election of Donald Trump, the news would have weighed on the markets. |
| 0:49.0 | Certainly it would have weighed on the currency markets. |
| 0:51.6 | The dollar would have been very weak and gold would have had a big rally. |
| 0:56.5 | Instead, gold was down a little bit and the dollar rose a little bit despite very, very |
| 1:01.8 | weak economic data that I am going to get to. |
| 1:05.6 | But what is start off by focusing on the stock market and the optimism there, which is really |
| 1:12.8 | quite ridiculous and unfounded. |
| 1:16.6 | Part of the reason for the rally though is a lack of selling. |
| 1:21.2 | You have a lot of people mindlessly buying the markets, but you don't have a lot of |
| 1:26.8 | selling. |
| 1:27.8 | One of the reason is that people would rather sell in January than in December. |
| 1:35.5 | Pretty obvious. |
| 1:37.0 | One of the reasons that so many people are enthusiastic now about Trump is because he's going |
| 1:43.1 | to cut taxes. |
... |
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