Well, folks, we're less than one week away from a massive, important political debate.

This rarely happens. Usually the debates don't change the direction of a presidential race.

Typically, you have a pretty strong frontrunner and somebody who's running pretty well behind.

Or you have a race where the debates don't matter all that much because it's basically incoherence all the way around.

In this case, the race is so extraordinarily

tight the debate is going to matter an awful lot. There are very few inflection points in this race

or possible inflection points. The conventions will not be inflection points. For example,

this debate could be an inflection point. The other big inflection point, obviously,

could be the possibility of Donald Trump having to serve jail time in the middle of the election cycle. We're not going to find that out until the middle of July.

And then the third possible inflection point is a health crisis involving Joe Biden.

And we're not going to know anything about what happens with those latter two until they actually

happen. But the thing we know is going to happen is this debate. And make no mistake,

this race is extraordinarily tight. Really, really, really make no mistake, this race is extraordinarily tight,

really, really, really tight. Okay, the fact is that the state level polls that we've been seeing

have not been updated many of them since May. Most of them are within the margin of error.

The national polling is all within the margin of error. And so this race could really go either way.

I know there are a lot of Republicans who are pretty sanguine about the possibility of Trump winning re-election over Biden because they look at Biden, they say, how can anyone vote for that guy? And there are a lot of Biden voters are pretty sanguine about the possibility of Biden beating Trump because they think, how can anybody vote for that guy? And then there's a huge chunk of the American population that goes, why are either of these guys on the stage?

But that's not what matters. What matters is that in this debate, we are going to get a pretty

clear picture of the future trajectory of this race. And I would say at this point, they much more

revolves around Trump's performance than revolves around Biden's performance. In other words,

Trump has much more to lose in this debate than Joe Biden. Everyone precedes Joe Biden for what he is, a bad president,

who's terrible at his job, who's extremely old, who may not be mentally all there. But he can

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