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Michael Covel's Trend Following

Ep. 191: Eric Crittenden Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

Michael Covel

Investing, Business

4.6730 Ratings

🗓️ 8 December 2013

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

My guest today is Eric Crittenden, a Founding Partner responsible for managing all research, risk quantification and trading operations. He's also been featured in Covel's own Little Book of Trading.

The topic is a white paper that was originally released in 2005 that concerns trend following on stocks.

In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

  • The decision to do research into trend following on equities, and the background behind the white paper
  • Why others weren’t trading equities with a trend following strategy at the time, and why there’s been a sea change in the industry now
  • Stress tests
  • How Critenden’s models and datastreams apply to a model
  • If Crittenden sees anything on the horizon that takes trend following on equities in a suboptimal direction, and where he sees it going in the future
  • Whether Crittenden’s work is all price driven and all systematic
  • The amount of human judgment involved in Crittenden’s strategy
  • Why this strategy works if it’s based on inefficiencies in the market, and Eugene Fama just won a Nobel Prize regarding the markets being efficient
  • Why exposure management is more important than the entries and exits themselves
  • The importance of blocking out distractions.

Jump in!

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I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

To start? I’d like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

Can’t get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel

Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is Trend Following Radio, where great thinking comes alive.

0:10.9

Nobel Prize winners, legendary traders, bestselling authors, and the pros that know what drive us irrational human beings.

0:21.2

I am your host, Michael Covel, not filtered, raw, honest.

0:27.3

That's my passion.

0:32.8

Today in the show I have Eric Crittenden.

0:35.6

Eric is with Longboard Asset Management.

0:38.7

Eric has appeared on my podcast before.

0:41.3

He is also featured in my book, The Little Book of Trading.

0:45.1

Today, we talk about a white paper, a research paper, that he originally put out in 2005

0:50.6

with his partner, Cole Wilcox.

0:53.1

It's been updated many times, but worthy of discussion.

0:57.1

The topic, trend following on stocks. I hope you enjoy.

1:06.7

I think our narrow focus tonight, for you is probably a smart place to go, which is trend following on stocks.

1:21.0

And I still remember, you'll have to correct me on the year.

1:24.7

I want to say 05.

1:26.9

When you first put out, you and Cole put out

1:29.5

the paper, does trend following work on stocks. And to some degree, I think you were out on an island

1:35.1

at the time. It wasn't like, it wasn't a common conversation in the strategy of trend following

1:43.1

to be applying it to equities. Very well known in futures at the time,

1:48.2

but not something applicable to equities. What spurred you on to do that research, to write that

1:56.2

at that moment in time? And why don't you fill in the year for me when you first put it out?

2:00.4

I know there have been several, not revisionsisions but several kind of adds to it and expanding

...

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