On Tuesday, CNN ORC released a new poll that could be a game changer for Donald Trump if the poll isn't an outlier.

It shows Trump up 45% to 43% over Hillary.

Now, obviously, if that holds up, he'd be winning, but there's something even more significant in this poll than prior polls showing him up slightly over Hillary.

It shows him breaking what appears to be this 41% ceiling I talk about a lot.

Trump hadn't broken 41% ceiling I talk about a lot.

Trump hadn't broken 41% since one Monmouth poll in July, in that one he was losing 45 to 43.

Before that, since May, Trump's biggest problem in this election cycle has been his total inability to translate Hillary's wild unpopularity into his own popularity.

He's been stuck in the polls. Every time the polls narrow, it's only because Hillary has been unable to boost her favorability rating. She'll drop from

like 47 to 41. If Trump is truly stuck below 42, he can't win the election. He and Hillary will be

splitting about 90% of the vote, assume the other 10% goes to Gary Johnson and Joel Stein,

meaning that if he's stuck at 42, she beats him 48 to 42. But if he's moving above 42%, the race is an entirely

new ball game. There's more stunning information in this poll, too. Trump's favorability ratings

are higher than Clinton's, 45 to 42. Fully 16% of Americans label immigration, their top

concern in the election.

About 20% say the economy.

Trump is leading on the economy slightly behind on immigration.

Trump is beating Hillary on the economy 56 to 41.

He's seen as more trustworthy by 50% of the public.

Only 35% think Hillary's trustworthy.

He's seen as more strong and decisive than she is by margin of 50 to 42. The male gender

gap is worse for Hillary, 52 to 32 for Trump. Then the female gender gap is good for her, 52 to 38

for her. Trump's defeating Hillary among independents by 20%. These are terrible, terrible numbers for

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