Ep. 1374: Excitement is Expensive with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following
Michael Covel
4.6 • 732 Ratings
🗓️ 26 January 2026
⏱️ 20 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Please enjoy my monologue Excitement is Expensive with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.
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I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.
To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/
You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/
Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast
My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel
Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | I like making people uncomfortable because in my conversation doesn't make people uncomfortable, |
| 0:04.8 | good chance I'm not telling the truth. |
| 0:07.8 | Due diligence? |
| 0:09.1 | One of the most abused phrases in modern finance. |
| 0:11.7 | It sounds serious, sounds responsible, sounds professional, gives people psychological cover. |
| 0:17.9 | Most of the time, that's all it is, cover. |
| 0:20.4 | Due diligence is spoken with confidence. |
| 0:22.6 | It's written into investment memos. It's referenced after the fact when something implodes. |
| 0:28.6 | It's used as a shield. We did our due diligence. That sentence has almost always said after the |
| 0:35.7 | damage is done. Here's the problem. Most of the time, |
| 0:40.0 | due diligence is not a process. It's a story people tell themselves you feel safe while moving |
| 0:46.9 | fast, while moving recklessly. No collapse in recent history exposes that lie more than FTX. |
| 0:57.0 | Sam Bankman-Free did not fool naive investors. |
| 1:00.0 | That detail matters. |
| 1:02.0 | He didn't fool unsophisticated retail traders clicking buttons on an app. |
| 1:07.0 | He fooled the so-called smartest rooms in finance. Venture capital, elite institutions, |
| 1:13.6 | regulators, media, academics, people whose reputations are supposed to be built on skepticism. |
| 1:19.7 | No accident. That's the signal. If this were just a story about stupidity, though, it'd be irrelevant. |
| 1:27.4 | Markets are full of stupid people. |
| 1:29.7 | If this was just about crypto, it would be narrow. |
| 1:33.0 | FTX matters because it shows something structural. |
| 1:36.7 | Narratives overpower evidence. |
... |
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