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Turley Talks

Ep. 1162 Rigged Polls EXPOSED and MIDTERM PREDICTIONS! Dr Steve with Rich Baris of the ‘People’s Pundit’!!!

Turley Talks

podcast@turleytalks.com

News, Daily News, Politics, News Commentary

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 21 September 2022

⏱️ 70 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Highlights:

  • “Everywhere we saw warning signs and lower turnout was where Donald Trump was not involved. Every time Donald Trump was involved, we saw historic turnout.” - Richard Baris
  • “The election forecast gurus must know something we don't know. They don’t know anything. They had Florida blue. They had Texas blue. They had North Carolina blue. Every state is blue. Amazing.” - Richard Barris

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Are we seeing the revitalization of conservative civilization all over the world has been a massive backlash against globalization, its leftist leadership, and its anti-cultural liberal values, and it's just the beginning.

0:18.0

I'm Dr. Steve Turley. I believe the liberal globalist world is at its brink and a new conservative age is rising.

0:26.0

Join me every day as we examine these worldwide trends, discover answers to today's toughest challenges, and together learn to live in the present in light of even better things to come. This is Turley Talks.

0:41.0

So what's going to happen in November? I know many of you are worried, you're concerned, you're confused, particularly about how to tell the difference between polling and propaganda.

1:04.0

And I have some with us today, somebody here with us who is going to dispel that confusion and assuage that fear. If you've been with this channel for some time now, you know that whenever I talk about polls, the latest polling, particularly leading up to a primary or a general election, virtually every single time there's a living footnote, a source that I cite.

1:31.0

And not just for the polls themselves, but about the whole ethos behind polling, the cyclical nature of it, the regional specificity of it, and I'm ecstatic to actually have this living footnote, this reference here with us in living flesh today.

1:52.0

He's the one and only rich barris, aka the people's pundit. I've been following rich now for the last few years and his analysis always blows my mind in terms of its precision, its accuracy, and most especially as we'll get into today, it's art. And that's why I believe he is hands down the single best analyst out there.

2:14.0

I want to subscribe to his YouTube channel. I'm a huge fan of his inside the numbers podcast. He's over all over social media. He has a locals page. He is my go to guy for polling and polling analysis, the one and only rich barris rich. Thank you so much for honoring us with your presence. It's so awesome to have you here, man.

2:35.0

Yeah, I'm really happy to be here. And thanks for that intro. I really appreciate it. It's good to be here. I'm looking forward to it.

2:41.4

Yeah, you are, you are what Nate Silver should want to be worthy to ever grow up, but I don't see that happening.

2:51.0

He's got some handicaps going on that are preventing him from gross without it. There is nothing going on there. It's creepy. It's definitely creepy. But yeah, I love your insiders.

3:00.7

Inside the numbers program. I love your interviews that you give the articles you post on your locals. And I have to say I see you very much as a kind of polling virtuoso.

3:17.2

And I mean that you blend so well both the art as well as the science in assessing public sentiment.

3:27.2

I'm wondering if we could start with that. It's just it's fascinating to me how polling is both numerical statistical and dexical. It's all it's clearly a hard. There's a hard science to it.

3:39.7

But I've heard you mentioned often that like the real magic to polling that the secret sauces that were is more the artistic side of it. Can you draw that out for us a bit?

3:51.7

Yeah, that's yeah, that's a great place to start. Look, you know, there, there's a long, you know, long held belief in saying that polling is part art and part science. And that's absolutely true.

4:03.7

And just to give people an idea if you gave four different pulsars, the same data set of raw results that were collected from polling in the field from different methods, whatever it may be.

4:14.7

And you gathered up that data set you handed it off to four different pulsars. You'll get four different results.

4:20.7

You know, somebody, you know, like me would look at it and maybe I have different waiting techniques or whatever it may be, but I'm looking at different things that are really meant to be red flags from me. I approach it a little bit different.

4:33.7

I'm looking to see whether or not I see any red flags that don't make sense as opposed to, you know, like for instance, you know, if you're polling a state that you know is, you know, 35% conservative.

4:47.7

And when you're done doing all of your weights, it's like 30%, then you know, maybe I did something wrong somewhere else. Maybe I don't have enough raw responses or, you know, it's another regional geographic issue.

4:59.7

There is definitely not to it. And I really think that you can't do the job. You cannot figure that out, Steve, unless you know a little bit of something about America and the different people in America.

...

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