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Michael Covel's Trend Following

Ep. 1117: 98 to 22 with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio

Michael Covel's Trend Following

Michael Covel

Investing, Business

4.6730 Ratings

🗓️ 7 October 2022

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Please enjoy my monologue 98 to 22 with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

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I’m MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I’m proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

To start? I’d like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

Can’t get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

My social media platforms:
Twitter: @covel
Facebook: @trendfollowing
LinkedIn: @covel
Instagram: @mikecovel

Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is trend following radio where great thinking comes alive.

0:10.9

Nobel Prize winners, legendary traders, bestselling authors, and the pros that know what drive us irrational human beings.

0:21.2

I am your host, Michael Covel, not filtered, raw, honest.

0:27.4

That's my passion.

0:33.6

Okay, quick, really quick, whether you were alive or not even born yet. Take yourself back to

0:40.6

1997. You're calling yourself someone who works in tech, which means you are sitting at a desk

0:49.5

at America online. The dot-com bubble has still not yet even reached 1999 where the NASDAQ went up 100%.

0:57.1

But let's just say that 1997, the dot-com bubble was rocking and rolling.

1:02.7

That we got the summer of 1998, long-term capital management.

1:07.0

If you don't know what it is, go watch the film The Trillion Dollar Bet, Cadeticate Hedge Fund,

1:14.7

John Meriwether of Solomon Brothers fame, of Liar's Poker, fame, the book by Michael Lewis,

1:21.2

they essentially blow up. Their whole business model was picking up nickels in front of a steamroller, and the steamroller

1:29.7

ran them over. Now, at that exact same time, summer of 1998, Trent following traders made a bloody

1:35.6

fortune because they were on the other side of long-term capital management's nonsense. Then the bailout

1:42.7

started. Long-term capital management was bailed out.

1:46.1

Put to bed, but bailed out. Trend following traders would have made a hell of a lot more money

1:50.8

if the Fed didn't step in and start playing games. But that was enough gasoline on the fire.

1:58.3

And bam, bam, thank you, ma'am, 1999, as I just mentioned, the NASDAQ was up 100%. Michael Saylor,

2:04.9

yes, of Bitcoin fame, Michael Sailor worth billions of dollars on paper at that moment in time,

2:11.0

went on 60 minutes and basically told everyone he was going to run their health care.

2:15.3

Micro Strategy's stock dropped like a rock in the days that

2:20.1

followed. And that was the first stock that precipitated the dot-com crash. I think it was March of

...

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