I've seen the entire interview, and I've seen a lot of your stuff, because what I like is

seeing what the market is saying and why, right?

Some people have certain patterns, and your experience is a very interesting one, because

you went to Yale College, you've lived in Canada, you're now in Hong Kong, if I'm not

mistaken.

No, no, no, Beijing.

I'm sorry, my apologies. You're in Beijing right now.

And so you have a very interesting perspective of these three different worlds, and there's a lot of things to talk about.

What analysis or what patterns did you notice for you to say, you know, not the first one that Trump was going to win, because let's set that one aside,

but the one that U.S. is going to go to war with Iran and then we're going to lose.

What gave you the analysis or something to say? I think that's what's going to happen.

Right. So in school, I teach history. And I try to teach world history, an entirety of human history,

stretching from the cave paintings during the United States about 10,000 years ago to today.

And while teaching history, I've noticed some patterns emerge in history.

And the major pattern is how empires tend to decline. And they decline for a particular reason, which is hubris.

So empires believe that they are invincible and that knowing can touch them.

So they engage in activities that are not very strategic.

For example, the Persians invaded the Greek mainland in about 490 BCE with a massive invasion force,

and they were destroyed by the Greeks.

And then the Athenian Empire, which emerged after the Persian Empire, started to engage in Hubert as well.

And in 415 BCE, during the Peloprussian War against Sparta,

they launched an ill-advised silly invasion of Sicily,

...