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Elections Everywhere All At Once

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.3K Ratings

🗓️ 23 May 2024

⏱️ 36 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

It’s been a newsy week for elections here at home and across the pond. On Wednesday, in her first public appearance since dropping out of the Republican primary, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley said that she is going to vote for former President Donald Trump this fall. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we ask whether her endorsement actually matters to voters. We also indulge in some British politics, with the announcement that the U.K. will hold general elections on July 4. The electoral picture for the Conservative Party is currently abysmal and they have six weeks to try to change it. And we check in on lessons from the downballot primaries that played out in Georgia and Oregon. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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0:00.0

While you're listening to this podcast, I'm causing mischief.

0:05.0

Like creeping past sleepy granddad to sneak a pot of Petty Faloo from the fridge.

0:12.0

Because Petty Fal Lou fuels the mischief.

0:15.0

Boom!

0:16.0

Mom says that Petty for Lou is made with calcium and vitamin D for healthy bones. She knows best, most of the time.

0:27.0

Fueling mischief with petty flu.

0:30.0

Can you publish a version of this podcast where it's just me saying I don't know what you're talking about for like the whole podcast?

0:38.0

No, but we can use that as the cold open. Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast, I'm Gailand Rook and it's been a newsy week for elections here at home and across the pond.

0:59.3

So on Wednesday in her first public appearance since dropping out of the Republican primary

1:04.1

Nikki Haley said that she is going to vote for former President Donald Trump this

1:09.2

fall. When we played Bisell-hold a couple weeks ago, the betting markets put the likelihood that

1:14.7

Haley would endorse Trump before June at 4%. So does this count as an endorsement?

1:21.2

Is somebody cashing in big? But of course, more importantly,

1:24.4

endorsement or not, does this matter for the presidential election? And lest you

1:29.9

thought election watchers would have some downtime between now and the summer conventions,

1:35.6

think again, because also on Wednesday British Prime Minister Rishi Sunach called for general elections

1:40.9

to be held on July 4th. A big day for British-American relations, as you may

1:46.4

be familiar. So we're going to indulge a little bit in some British electoral politics. We're

1:52.2

also going to talk about the lessons learned,

1:54.2

a couple of the lessons learned from down ballot primaries

1:57.3

earlier this week.

1:59.0

And here with me to do it all

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