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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Election claims and erection claims

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 26 June 2024

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Are Labour right about the Liz Truss effect on mortgages? Are the Conservatives right about pensioners? Are Plaid Cymru right about spending? Are the Lib Dems right about care funding? Is Count Binface right about croissants?

Why are MRP polls coming up with such different numbers?

Do erections require a litre of blood?

Tim Harford investigates the numbers in the news.

Presenter: Tim Harford Reporter: Kate Lamble Producers: Simon Tulett, Nathan Gower, Beth Ashmead Latham and Debbie Richford Series producer: Tom Colls Production coordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Rod Farquhar Editor: Richard Vadon

Transcript

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0:00.0

You don't need us to tell you there's a general election coming.

0:04.7

So what does it mean for you?

0:06.7

Every day on newscast we dissect the big talking points, the ones that you want to know more about.

0:12.4

With our book of contacts, we talk directly to the people you want to hear from.

0:16.8

And with help from some of the best BBC journalists,

0:19.5

we'll untangle the stories that matter to you.

0:23.0

Join me, Laura Kunsberg, Adam Fleming, Chris Mason and Patty O'Connell for our daily

0:28.4

podcast.

0:29.4

Newscast, listen on BBC Sounds. BBC Sounds. BBC Sounds, music radio podcasts.

0:38.0

Hello and welcome to more or less.

0:41.0

With me Tim Harford, think of us as applying the bracing facial scrub of statistics

0:46.8

to wash away the greasy grime of misinformation and deceit.

0:51.6

This week the big fancy MRP polls are producing wildly different forecasts of

0:57.5

how many seats the Conservatives might win. Why? We evaluate a key policy plank of the Count Binface Party.

1:05.0

And from elections to erections, should we really believe the Guardians claim that one-fifth of the blood in the body is involved in the whole undignified

1:14.5

business. But let's start with a politics shall we there is only a week to go but

1:19.6

let's launch our new special election feature.

1:23.3

Kate Lambel's election desk of deceit.

1:28.6

Okay, that sounds a bit strong.

1:31.0

Any other options?

1:32.0

I mean, there was this.

1:33.4

Kate Lamble's election desk of important relevant context.

...

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