4.8 • 648 Ratings
🗓️ 10 January 2022
⏱️ 93 minutes
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0:00.0 | Oh yes, here we go. Welcome to the Not the Top 20 podcast, Monday podcast, with me, |
0:26.7 | Ali Maxwell and him, George Ehrlich. We are sponsored by Betfair. Our meat and drink is the EFL, but we like to do |
0:35.0 | some other things as well. F-A cupCup third round chat where necessary and it certainly |
0:40.1 | is this week but also as we did on this exact weekend or this exact Monday last year this is the |
0:48.2 | mid-season prediction podcast. George and I will be picking our automatically promoted teams, our playoff contenders, |
0:56.2 | and those we think will fall through various EFL trap doors on this podcast. |
1:02.4 | It's a biggie, George. |
1:04.2 | It is a biggie, yes. |
1:06.5 | I think it's important at this stage to probably a little bit unlike our one to 24s. |
1:12.2 | Our job here isn't to make bold predictions. |
1:15.9 | It's not to predict that teams coming currently 16th. |
1:19.1 | They're going to march their merry way into the playoffs. |
1:21.2 | Not that that won't happen. |
1:22.5 | What we've tried to do is come up with the most likely set of events from our point of view. |
1:27.8 | As you mentioned, this podcast is sponsored by Betfair, and I'm going to point at some of their odds as we go through it. |
1:34.2 | I know a lot of people who listen to this podcast aren't bettors, but often the odds themselves can be quite handy as a means of just understanding probability |
1:41.1 | and how maybe some narratives don't really tally with the actual likelihood |
1:45.4 | of something happening. There's especially one in the championship where I feel like the general |
1:50.3 | view of championship fans and the NFL fans and certainly the fans of the club is that their team |
1:55.5 | is right there. And then you look at the betting markets and they're being given not a very high |
1:59.4 | percentage chance of doing what they're setting out to do. |
2:01.3 | So it's interesting. |
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