Effectively Wild Episode 860: Week One in Baseball Confirmation Bias
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley
4.7 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 12 April 2016
⏱️ 43 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Ben and Sam banter about the most popular picks in BP’s “Beat PECOTA” game, then discuss Rich Hill, the Cubs’ strong start, Ray Searage’s promising pupils, and more.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | If I knew that what I don't know, I'd do it all again with you anyhow. |
| 0:10.2 | Confirmation when I look at you. |
| 0:15.0 | Confirmation that this thing is to. |
| 0:19.7 | Confirmation that we got it right. |
| 0:24.4 | Confirmation that you're here tonight. |
| 0:27.6 | Good morning and welcome to episode 860 of Effectively Wild, the Daily Podcast from |
| 0:32.4 | Baseball Respectists. Brought to you by our supporters at Patreon. Thank you very much to |
| 0:37.7 | each and every one of you also by the Playindex at baseballreference.com. I'm Sam Miller, |
| 0:42.9 | along with Ben Lindbergh of 538. Hello Ben. Hello. How are you? Very well, thank you. Good. |
| 0:48.8 | Anything you want to talk about today? Not particularly. I'm up for whatever you want to talk about. |
| 0:53.7 | Yikes. |
| 0:56.7 | It's really hoping you had like 40 minutes of banter. We can brainstorm together. |
| 1:02.6 | So the season's about a week old and I wanted to talk to you about some potential areas of |
| 1:11.6 | confirmation bias I guess. Ways that the season has gone just how we expected them to or maybe |
| 1:17.3 | one or the other of us expected it to or the world did or whatever. Could we banter about your |
| 1:22.8 | article today for a minute? Yeah, sure. I haven't read it yet, but I'm curious about what it says. |
| 1:29.3 | You sort of summarize the Pecoda contest results will not the results, but what people picked. |
| 1:37.4 | Yes, this contest where you can pick Pecoda projections that you think are too optimistic or |
| 1:43.7 | pessimistic and you can try to beat those projections. So you have looked at which players people |
| 1:49.3 | picked and I'm curious what they are. Yeah, I also I was curious to see how many I guess I was |
| 1:55.7 | curious to see how similarly we would all behave whether there would be players that were |
| 2:02.1 | you know close to unanimous whether there'd be players that were extremely popular. Besides Wade |
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